Exam 8: Prediction

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If prediction is made from the Pearsonian regression line and linearity of regression does not hold, the predicted value of Y will be

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When obtained values of Y are not normally distributed

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When When     what z score in X leads us to a predicted Y score of    what z score in X leads us to a predicted Y score of When     what z score in X leads us to a predicted Y score of

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  when when

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The regression line for predicting Y from X is drawn so that which of the following is minimized?

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The least squares line of regression for predicting Y from X minimizes

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The following data are for freshman students at Spartan University: The following data are for freshman students at Spartan University:     (a) Write the raw score regression equation for predicting Y from X and simplify it.    (b) John and Will score 485 and 710, respectively, on the aptitude test. Predict the freshman GPA for each.  (c) Compute the standard error of prediction.  (d) Set up the 95% confidence limits around John's and Will's predicted GPAs.  (e) For students with aptitude scores the same as John's, what proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA better than the freshman mean? What proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA of 2.0 or below?  (f) For students with aptitude scores the same as Will's, what proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA of 2.5 or better? (a) Write the raw score regression equation for predicting Y from X and simplify it. (b) John and Will score 485 and 710, respectively, on the aptitude test. Predict the freshman GPA for each. (c) Compute the standard error of prediction. (d) Set up the 95% confidence limits around John's and Will's predicted GPAs. (e) For students with aptitude scores the same as John's, what proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA better than the freshman mean? What proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA of 2.0 or below? (f) For students with aptitude scores the same as Will's, what proportion would be expected to obtain a GPA of 2.5 or better?

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Depending on the value of Depending on the value of   may take values between may take values between

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  when when

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Estimates of predictive error utilizing the regression equation and the standard error of estimate are affected by random sampling variation. When this factor is taken into account, it is found that error estimates made by the methods of this chapter are generally

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Which term, if any, does not appear in the raw score regression equation?

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In predicting Y from a particular value of X, we report 68% of obtained values of Y to fall within

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  and    ;     and     If     and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y? and   and    ;     and     If     and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y? ;   and    ;     and     If     and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y? and   and    ;     and     If     and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y? If   and    ;     and     If     and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y? and X is 40, what value do we predict for Y?

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The manager of an ice cream company wants a better basis for deciding how much ice cream to make each evening. He would like to be able to predict the amount of ice cream sold at his retail outlets on any day from the temperature forecast the evening before. He records both the evening temperature forecast (X) and the number of five-gallon containers of ice cream sold the next day (Y) over a considerable period in the late spring and early summer. The following results are obtained: The manager of an ice cream company wants a better basis for deciding how much ice cream to make each evening. He would like to be able to predict the amount of ice cream sold at his retail outlets on any day from the temperature forecast the evening before. He records both the evening temperature forecast (X) and the number of five-gallon containers of ice cream sold the next day (Y) over a considerable period in the late spring and early summer. The following results are obtained:     (a) Write the regression equation for predicting Y from X; simplify; and compute the standard error of prediction. (b)Suppose the temperature forecast is for 96°. On what proportion of following days would he expect to sell over 1300 containers of ice cream? (c)Suppose the forecast is for 50° and he plans to make 800 containers. For what proportion of the following days would this be too much ice cream? (d)The regression equation is based on data gathered in the late spring and early summer. Will it work in midsummer, or in early fall? (a) Write the regression equation for predicting Y from X; simplify; and compute the standard error of prediction. (b)Suppose the temperature forecast is for 96°. On what proportion of following days would he expect to sell over 1300 containers of ice cream? (c)Suppose the forecast is for 50° and he plans to make 800 containers. For what proportion of the following days would this be too much ice cream? (d)The regression equation is based on data gathered in the late spring and early summer. Will it "work" in midsummer, or in early fall?

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Consider the situation described from above. (a) Convert to z scores the heights of the following 10-year-olds: Benny (42.5 in.), Cal (55.3 in.), Arthur (50.1 in.), (b) Use the standard score form of the regression equation to obtain their predicted z scores for height as adults. (c) Convert the predicted z scores from (b) to predicted heights in inches and compare with the results Benny: 61.8, Cal: 73.9, Arthur: 69.0.

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If If

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When When     =    = When     =

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For what value of r does a particular z score in X lead us to predict the same z score in Y?

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In a problem where we are predicting Y from X, which of the following can be considered a mean?

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