Exam 6: Decision Analysis and Expected Value
Exam 1: Introduction to Statistics60 Questions
Exam 2: Organizing and Visualizing Data95 Questions
Exam 3: Descriptive Statistics53 Questions
Exam 4: Gathering Data44 Questions
Exam 5: Probability83 Questions
Exam 6: Decision Analysis and Expected Value42 Questions
Exam 7: Discrete Probability Distributions85 Questions
Exam 8: Continuous Distributions64 Questions
Exam 9: Sampling Distributions65 Questions
Exam 10: Confidence Intervals82 Questions
Exam 11: Hypothesis Testing for Single Populations77 Questions
Exam 12: Hypothesis Testing for Two Populations72 Questions
Exam 13: Analysis of Variance Anova45 Questions
Exam 14: Linear Correlation and Simple Linear Regression Analysis110 Questions
Exam 15: Categorical Versus Categorical: Tests78 Questions
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You are offered an investment opportunity. Its outcomes and probabilities are presented in the following table:
Which of the following statements is true?

(Multiple Choice)
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In a decision-making under uncertainty scenario, the decision maker chooses the decision alternative that has the minimum expected (i.e., probability-weighted) payoff among all the available alternatives.
(True/False)
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In a decision-making scenario, if it is known which of the states of nature will occur but the probabilities of occurrence of the states are known the scenario is called decision-making under risk.
(True/False)
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In decision-making under risk, the expected monetary payoff of perfect information is the weighted average of the best payoff for each state of nature (using the probability of the state of nature as the weight).
(True/False)
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The expected monetary value without information is $60, and the expected monetary payoff with perfect information is $120. The expected value of perfect information is
(Multiple Choice)
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In a decision analysis problem, variables (such as investing in common stocks or corporate bonds) which are under the decision maker's control are called decision alternatives.
(True/False)
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The speed at which a jet plane can fly is an example of ___.
(Multiple Choice)
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The amount of time a patient waits in a doctor's office is an example of a continuous random variable.
(True/False)
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In a decision analysis problem, variables (such as benefits or rewards that result from investments in common stocks or corporate bonds and from a new product launch) which result from selecting a particular decision alternative are called posterior probabilities.
(True/False)
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A market research team compiled the following discrete probability distribution for families residing in Pictou County. In this distribution, x represents the number of evenings the family dines outside their home during a week:
The mean (average) value of x is ___.

(Multiple Choice)
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The variance of a discrete distribution increases if we add a positive constant to each one of its value.
(True/False)
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Dan Hein owns the mineral and drilling rights to a 1,000 acre tract of land. If he drills a well and does strike oil his net loss will be $50,000, but if he drills a well and strikes oil his net gain will be $100,000. If he does drill, his loss is the cost of the mineral and drilling rights, which amount to $1000. For Dan's decision problem, the variable "oil in the tract" is one of the
(Multiple Choice)
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The value of perfect information is the difference between the monetary payoff with perfect information and the expected monetary payoff with no information.
(True/False)
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A market research team compiled the following discrete probability distribution on the number of soft drinks the average adult drinks each day. In this distribution, x represents the number of sodas which an adult drinks:
The mean (average) value of x is ___.

(Multiple Choice)
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In a decision-making scenario, if the decision maker knows which state of nature will occur, the scenario is called decision-making under certainty.
(True/False)
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In American Roulette, there are two zeroes and 36 non-zero numbers (18 red and 18 black). If a player bets 1 unit on red, his chance of winning 1 unit is therefore 18/38 and his chance of losing 1 unit (or winning -1) is 20/38. Let x be the player profit per game. The mean (average) value of x is approximately ___.
(Multiple Choice)
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The expected monetary value without information is $2,500, and the expected monetary payoff with perfect information is $5,000. The expected value of perfect information is
(Multiple Choice)
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A market research team compiled the following discrete probability distribution for families residing in Randolph County. In this distribution, x represents the number of evenings the family dines outside their home during a week:
Determine the mean (average) value and standard deviation of x.

(Essay)
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Dan Hein owns the mineral and drilling rights to a 1,000 acre tract of land. If he drills a well and does strike oil his net loss will be $50,000, but if he drills a well and strikes oil his net gain will be $100,000. If he does drill, his loss is the cost of the mineral and drilling rights, which amount to $1000. For Dan's decision problem, the variable "net loss of $50,000" is one of the
(Multiple Choice)
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To compute the variance of a discrete distribution, it is necessary to know the mean of the distribution.
(True/False)
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