Exam 17: Five Debates Over Macroeconomic Policy

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Explain how it is possible for the government debt to grow forever.

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The debt can grow because the economy grows. If, for example, nominal GDP grows at 3 percent per year, and the debt also grows at 3 percent per year, then the debt will be a constant fraction of GDP. This is perfectly sustainable. Problems arise only if the debt grows faster than GDP. Such a situation cannot prevail forever, because that would imply that the debt would eventually be many times larger than GDP, and the government would no longer be able to pay the interest payments on its debt.

Identify three of the five costs of inflation.

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There are several costs of inflation, including the following: shoeleather costs, because people spend resources to economize on their holdings of money; menu costs created by having to change prices; increased relative price variability, which distorts signals provided by relative price changes; distortions in the tax laws that discourage saving; arbitrary redistribution of wealth from unexpected inflation; and the general inconvenience created by the lack of a fixed unit of account.

In essence, a consumption tax puts all saving into tax-advantaged savings accounts.

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Suppose that the central bank is required to follow a monetary policy rule to stabilize prices. If the economy starts at long-run equilibrium and then aggregate supply shifts right, what should the central bank do, and what will happen to output?

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Some social programs transfer wealth from younger generations to older generations.

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What is the relationship between deficit and debt?

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Suppose that a country has an inflation rate of about 3 percent per year and a real growth rate of about 6 percent per year. Suppose also that it has nominal GDP of about 100 billion units of currency. What is the highest deficit it can have without raising the debt-to-income ratio?

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Suppose the budget deficit is rising 2 percent per year and nominal GDP is rising 7 percent per year. Which of the following best describes the debt created by these continuing deficits?

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Why should monetary policy be made by rule rather than discretion?

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The cost of inflation reduction is less if people believe that the central bank will really reduce inflation.

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There are ways that policymakers could reduce the costs of inflation without reducing inflation.

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What is the principal reason that monetary policy has lags?

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Why do many economists advocate a consumption tax rather than an income tax?

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Consider the following rule for monetary policy: r = 2 percent + π\pi + 1/2(y - y*)/y* + 1/2( π\pi - π\pi *), where r is the nominal interest rate, y is real GDP, y* is an estimate of the natural rate of output, π\pi is the inflation rate, and π\pi * is the inflation target. What is the implication of this rule?

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Identify three government policies that discourage saving.

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To stimulate savings in retirement plans, suppose the capital gain is not taxed until it is realized (the money is effectively withdrawn from the account.) To simplify, suppose that when she is 70, our worker withdraws the entire amount in her account. How much will she receive if the capital gain tax is 40 percent?

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Suppose people in countries that have had persistently high inflation are sceptical about efforts to reduce inflation. What will happen to the short-run Phillips curve and the sacrifice ratio?

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Explain the time inconsistency of monetary policy.

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Assume that the substitution effect is large relative to the income effect. If a tax reform is designed to increase saving, what does it do to the interest rate and spending on capital goods?

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The cost of inflation reduction is a small but permanent increase in unemployment.

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