Exam 12: Simple Regression

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A negative correlation between two variables X and Y usually yields a negative p-value for r.

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The ordinary least squares (OLS) method of estimation will minimize:

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A local trucking company fitted a regression to relate the travel time (days) of its shipments as a function of the distance traveled (miles). The fitted regression is Time = -7.126 + 0.0214 Distance. If Distance increases by 50 miles, the expected Time would increase by:

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If the attendance at a baseball game is to be predicted by the equation Attendance = 16,500 - 75 Temperature, what would be the predicted attendance if Temperature is 90 degrees?

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A poor prediction (large residual) indicates an observation with high leverage.

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A local trucking company fitted a regression to relate the travel time (days) of its shipments as a function of the distance traveled (miles). The fitted regression is Time = -7.126 + 0.0214 Distance, based on a sample of 20 shipments. The estimated standard error of the slope is 0.0053. Find the value of tcalc to test for zero slope.

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A negative value for the correlation coefficient (r) implies a negative value for the slope (b1).

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A fitted regression Profit = -570 + 30 Sales (all variables in thousands of dollars) was estimated from a random sample of 20 pharmacies. For a pharmacy with Sales = 10, we predict that Profit will be:

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The ordinary least squares method of estimation minimizes the estimated slope and intercept.

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If the residuals from a fitted regression violate the assumption of homoscedasticity, we know that:

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If you have a strong outlier in the residuals, it may represent a different causal system.

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The coefficient of determination is the percentage of the total variation in the response variable Y that is explained by the predictor X.

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In a sample of n = 23, the critical value of Student's t for a two-tailed test of significance for a simple bivariate regression at α = .05 is:

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Studentized (or standardized) residuals permit us to detect cases where the regression predicts poorly.

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A predictor that is significant in a one-tailed t-test will also be significant in a two-tailed test at the same level of significance α.

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Autocorrelated errors are not usually a concern for regression models using cross-sectional data.

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"High leverage" would refer to a data point that is poorly predicted by the model (large residual).

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The ordinary least squares regression line always passes through the point (xˉ,yˉ)( \bar { x } , \bar { y } )

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Mary noticed that old coins are smoother and more worn. She weighed 31 nickels and recorded their ages, and then performed a simple regression to estimate the model Weight = β0 + β1 Age, where weight is the weight of the coin in grams and Age is the age of the coin in years. Her results are shown below. Write a brief analysis of these results, using what you have learned in this chapter. Make a prediction of Weight when Age = 10 and also when Age = 20. What does this tell you? Is the intercept meaningful in this regression? Regression Analysis 0.442 n 31 r -0.665 k 1 or 0.050 Dep. Var. Weight (gm) ANOVA table Source SS df MS F p -value Regression 0.0582 1 0.0582 22.99 4.48-05 Residual 0.0734 29 0.0025 Total 0.1316 30 Regression output                                                 confidence interval variables coefficients std. emor f(df=29) p-value 95\% lower 95\% upper Intercept 5.0210 0.0137 367.740 9.33-55 4.9931 5.0489 Age (Yrs) -0.0040 0.0008 -4.795 4.48-05 -0.0057 -0.0023

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When homoscedasticity exists, we expect that a plot of the residuals versus the fitted Y:

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