Exam 6: International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates

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If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year, how much money would you owe at maturity?

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer who borrowed €1m, traded for dollars at the spot rate and invested at i$ = 4%.

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One implication of the random walk hypothesis is

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Studies of the accuracy of paid exchange rate forecasters

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If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year, how much money would you owe at maturity?

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Suppose that the one-year interest rate is 4.0 percent in the Italy, the spot exchange rate is $1.60/€, and the one-year forward exchange rate is $1.58/€. What must one-year interest rate be in the United States?

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There is (at least) one (smallish) profitable arbitrage at these prices. What is it?

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Suppose that the one-year interest rate is 3.0 percent in the Italy, the spot exchange rate is $1.20/€, and the one-year forward exchange rate is $1.18/€. What must one-year interest rate be in the United States?

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Consider a bank dealer who faces the following spot rates and interest rates. What should he set his 1-year forward bid price at? Consider a bank dealer who faces the following spot rates and interest rates. What should he set his 1-year forward bid price at?

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The Efficient Markets Hypothesis states

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In view of the fact that PPP is the manifestation of the law of one price applied to a standard commodity basket,

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If you had €1,000,000 and traded it for USD at the spot rate, how many USD will you get?

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When Interest Rate Parity (IRP) does not hold

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward ASK exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer.

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If the interest rate in the U.S. is i$ = 5 percent for the next year and interest rate in the U.K. is i£ = 8 percent for the next year, uncovered IRP suggests that

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If the annual inflation rate is 5.5 percent in the United States and 4 percent in the U.K., and the dollar depreciated against the pound by 3 percent, then the real exchange rate, assuming that PPP initially held, is

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Researchers have found that the fundamental approach to exchange rate forecasting

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If you could accurately and consistently forecast exchange rates

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If you had borrowed $1,000,000 and traded for euro at the spot rate, how many € do you receive?

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Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA) activities will result in

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