Exam 6: International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates

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If you borrowed $1,000,000 for one year, how much money would you owe at maturity?

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Suppose that the one-year interest rate is 5.0 percent in the United States and 3.5 percent in Germany, and that the spot exchange rate is $1.12/€ and the one-year forward exchange rate, is $1.16/€. Assume that an arbitrageur can borrow up to $1,000,000.

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward BID exchange rate in $ per € that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer.

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer who borrowed €1m, traded for dollars at the spot rate and invested at i$ = 2%.

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Suppose you observe a spot exchange rate of $1.50/€. If interest rates are 5% APR in the U.S. and 3% APR in the euro zone, what is the no-arbitrage 1-year forward rate?

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Generating exchange rate forecasts with the fundamental approach involves

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Will an arbitrageur facing the following prices be able to make money? Will an arbitrageur facing the following prices be able to make money?

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer that borrowed $1m traded for € at the spot and invested at i = 3%.

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If the annual inflation rate is 2.5 percent in the United States and 4 percent in the U.K., and the dollar appreciated against the pound by 1.5 percent, then the real exchange rate, assuming that PPP initially held, is _____.

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As of today, the spot exchange rate is €1.00 = $1.60 and the rates of inflation expected to prevail for the next year in the U.S. is 2% and 3% in the euro zone. What is the one-year forward rate that should prevail?

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If you had €1,000,000 and traded it for USD at the spot rate, how many USD will you get?

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An arbitrage is best defined as

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If you borrowed $1,000,000 for one year, how much money would you owe at maturity?

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Interest Rate Parity (IRP) is best defined as

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There is (at least) one profitable arbitrage at these prices. What is it?

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A formal statement of IRP is

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work, find the 1-year forward BID exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer.

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If IRP fails to hold

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The price of a McDonald's Big Mac sandwich

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If you borrowed $1,000,000 for one year, how much money would you owe at maturity?

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