Exam 14: The Great Recession and the Short-Run Model

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The event which likely caused the risk premium to jump to about 6 percent in September 2008 was the growing unrest in the Middle East.

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The difference between the three-month bond yield and the six-month bond yield represents a risk premium.

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Briefly discuss the Fed's balance sheet before and after the financial crisis of 2008.

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When a risk premium is added to the short-run model it shifts the MP curve up.

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Between January 1985 and January 1990 the NIKKEI,the Japanese stock index,rose an astounding 217 percent.Tokyo housing prices had jumped to $93,000 per square foot.Then stock and housing prices plummeted.The NIKKEI finally bottomed out in April 2003 and had lost about 79 percent of its value from January 1990.Explain the macroeconomic effects of this so-called "Lost Decade" in Japan.During this period Japan experienced a deflationary spiral;explain.If you were the chairman of the Bank of Japan what prescription would you apply? If you were the Government of Japan,what would you do? Compare this to the United States' Great Recession.

(Essay)
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The effect of the subprime loan crisis pushed the risk premium up.This pushes the MP curve up and the AD down.

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Refer to Figure 14.4 below,which shows the inflation rate and ten-year bond yield,for the following questions. Refer to Figure 14.4 below,which shows the inflation rate and ten-year bond yield,for the following questions.   -Between 2006 and 2007, -Between 2006 and 2007,

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__________ reduced loans despite the Fed's attempts to get liquidity flowing in financial markets after 2008.

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In financial economics models,a stock price is approximately equal to the:

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  -Consider the IS-MP model in Figure 14.2 above;starting from the long-run equilibrium,the burst of the housing bubble and the appropriate fed response,without a risk premium,can be shown as a movement from point __________ to point __________ and the economy is in __________. -Consider the IS-MP model in Figure 14.2 above;starting from the long-run equilibrium,the burst of the housing bubble and the appropriate fed response,without a risk premium,can be shown as a movement from point __________ to point __________ and the economy is in __________.

(Multiple Choice)
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If the rate of inflation is -2 percent,the output gap is -5 percent,the nominal interest rate is 5 percent,and the unemployment rate is 8 percent,the real interest rate is 3 percent.

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The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act is an approximately __________ stimulus package.About __________ takes the form of tax cuts and __________ is new government spending on __________.

(Multiple Choice)
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A recent FOMC statement asserts: "Measures of underlying inflation are currently at levels somewhat below those the Committee judges most consistent,over the longer run,with its mandate to promote ...price stability." Your parents have taken interest in your fascinating Macroeconomics course and ask you to interpret this quote.* You tell them:

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The Fisher equation is given by:

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In dollars,the magnitude of the Fed's balance sheet actions were larger than the funding from the Federal government's TARP aid.

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When an economy is in a deflationary spiral,and nominal interest rates are close to zero,it may be necessary:

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If If   Is the federal funds rate,R is the market interest rate,and   Is the risk premium,what is the equation for the market interest rate? Is the federal funds rate,R is the market interest rate,and If   Is the federal funds rate,R is the market interest rate,and   Is the risk premium,what is the equation for the market interest rate? Is the risk premium,what is the equation for the market interest rate?

(Multiple Choice)
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The liquidity trap occurs when:

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The return to a risk asset can be written as The return to a risk asset can be written as    . .

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  -Consider the IS-MP model in Figure 14.2 above.Starting from the long-run equilibrium,the burst of the housing bubble and the appropriate fed response,with a risk premium,can be shown as a movement from point __________ to point __________ and the economy is in __________. -Consider the IS-MP model in Figure 14.2 above.Starting from the long-run equilibrium,the burst of the housing bubble and the appropriate fed response,with a risk premium,can be shown as a movement from point __________ to point __________ and the economy is in __________.

(Multiple Choice)
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