Exam 19: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information

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In an efficient allocation of risk:

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Use the following to answer questions : Use the following to answer questions :   -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty. Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 60%, the probability that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that the probability that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 10%. Norman's expected total utility is _____ utils. -(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty. Suppose that the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 60%, the probability that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that the probability that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 10%. Norman's expected total utility is _____ utils.

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Suppose a person rolls a typical six-sided die. What is the probability that the die will come up with a 1 and then a 2?

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Lucy decides to buy car insurance because:

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Risk-averse individuals are willing to pay a premium that is _____ their expected claims.

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Use the following to answer questions : Use the following to answer questions :   -(Table: Utility for Terri and Mary) Look at the table Utility for Terri and Mary. Each has an income of $300. _____ is more risk-averse because _____ has a _____ drop in total utility if income were to fall by $100. -(Table: Utility for Terri and Mary) Look at the table Utility for Terri and Mary. Each has an income of $300. _____ is more risk-averse because _____ has a _____ drop in total utility if income were to fall by $100.

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_____ is (are) a strategy(ies) for dealing with adverse selection in the labor market.

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Sellers of used cars may have private information to which buyers are not privy. This leads to all of the following EXCEPT:

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Newman has decided to take a road trip in a rental car. He has the minimum amount of personal car insurance to rent the car, but he decides to pay a little extra to the rental car company to completely insure himself against any damage to the rental car. How is there a potential moral hazard due to Newman's purchase of the additional insurance?

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Used-car dealers will often advertise how long they have been in business as a means of _____ their long-term _____.

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Risk-averse individuals will always buy insurance, regardless of the premiums charged.

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Suppose the probability of a major theft at a hotel is 1%, while the probability of an earthquake hitting the hotel is 2.3%. The probability that both would occur on the same day is therefore:

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Use the following to answer questions Scenario: Diversification Morris is considering investing $10,000 in a sunglass company or a rain poncho company. If it is a rainy year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he will lose $5,000. However, if it is a rainy year and he invests only in the rain poncho company, he will earn $10,000. If it is a sunny year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he will earn $10,000; if he invests only in the rain poncho company, he will lose $5,000 in a sunny year. There is a 50% chance of a sunny year and a 50% chance of a rainy year. -(Scenario: Diversification) Look at the scenario Diversification. If Morris invests half of his money in the sunglass company and half in the rain poncho company, he will earn _____ in a sunny year and _____ in a rainy year.

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Use the following to answer questions Scenario: Health Costs Alan is hoping for a healthy year, meaning that he would have zero health costs. Given his habits, there is a 40% chance that Alan will develop a health issue resulting in $50,000 in health costs. Assume these are the only two conditions that could exist for Alan in the coming year. -(Scenario: Health Costs) Look at the scenario Health Costs. When Alan's probability of developing a health problem decreases, holding everything else constant, Alan's expected value of health care costs:

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Two individuals make up the auto insurance market. Bonnie drives well, and the probability of her having an accident is 10% this year. Lisa also drives carefully, and her probability of having an accident is 5%. What is the probability that Bonnie and Lisa will both have accidents this year?

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The opportunity to engage in pooling shifts the _____ curve of insurance to the right; insurance companies will take on _____ risk and charge a _____ premium than without pooling.

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As the premium for an insurance policy falls, there is an increase in the _____ insurance.

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Use the following to answer questions : Use the following to answer questions :   -(Table: Total Utility of Income After College Expenses) Look at the table Total Utility of Income After College Expenses. The Smith family's expected income after tuition is: -(Table: Total Utility of Income After College Expenses) Look at the table Total Utility of Income After College Expenses. The Smith family's expected income after tuition is:

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Use the following to answer questions : Use the following to answer questions :   -(Table: Amy's Utility Function) Look at the table Amy's Utility Function. Amy is an entrepreneur with current income equal to $40,000. Amy is considering development of a new product. The probability that her new product earns Amy $10,000 in additional income is 0.5, and the probability that Amy incurs a reduction of $10,000 from her current income is also 0.5. Suppose Amy can buy a fair insurance policy that will compensate her for any losses. Amy's premium will be _____, her guaranteed income will be _____, and her expected utility will be _____ utils. -(Table: Amy's Utility Function) Look at the table Amy's Utility Function. Amy is an entrepreneur with current income equal to $40,000. Amy is considering development of a new product. The probability that her new product earns Amy $10,000 in additional income is 0.5, and the probability that Amy incurs a reduction of $10,000 from her current income is also 0.5. Suppose Amy can buy a fair insurance policy that will compensate her for any losses. Amy's premium will be _____, her guaranteed income will be _____, and her expected utility will be _____ utils.

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For most families, total utility does NOT:

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