Exam 6: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

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Rational decision makers are never willing to violate the expected monetary value (EMV)maximization criterion when large amounts of money are at stake.

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The decision maker now has $15,000 and two possible decisions.For decision 1,she loses $1,000 for certain.For decision 2,she loses $0 with probability 0.9 and loses $4,000 with probability 0.10.Which decision maximizes the expected utility of her net wealth?

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What impact,if any,does the insurance premium cost have on her decision? Briefly explain your answer What impact,if any,does the insurance premium cost have on her decision? Briefly explain your answer

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Tornado charts and spider charts can be used to determine which input variables have the most impact on the expected value in a decision problem

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What format is optimal? What is the expected profit in that case?

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What should the credit union do? What is their expected profit?

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