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TABLE 15-3
a Certain Type of Rare Gem Serves as a Status

Question 4

Multiple Choice

TABLE 15-3
A certain type of rare gem serves as a status symbol for many of its owners. In theory, for low prices, the demand increases and it decreases as the price of the gem increases. However, experts hypothesize that when the gem is valued at very high prices, the demand increases with price due to the status owners believe they gain in obtaining the gem. Thus, the model proposed to best explain the demand for the gem by its price is the quadratic model:

Y=β0+β1X+β2X2+ε Y=\beta_{0}+\beta_{1} X+\beta_{2} X^{2}+\varepsilon

where Y = demand (in thousands) and X = retail price per carat.
This model was fit to data collected for a sample of 12 rare gems of this type. A portion of the computer analysis obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown below:
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.994 R Square 0.988 Standard Error 12.42 Observations 12\begin{array}{lc}\text {Regression Statistics}\\\hline \text { Multiple R } & 0.994 \\\text { R Square } & 0.988 \\\text { Standard Error } & 12.42 \\\text { Observations } & 12 \\\hline\end{array}

ANOVA\text {ANOVA}
dfSS MS F Significance  Regression 2115145575733730.0001 Residual 91388154 Total 11116533\begin{array}{lrrrrc} \hline& d f & S S & \text { MS } & F & \text { Significance } \\\hline \text { Regression } & 2 & 115145 & 57573 & 373 & 0.0001 \\\text { Residual } & 9 & 1388 & 154 & & \\\text { Total } & 11 & 116533 & & & \\\hline\end{array}


 Coeff  Std Error t Stat p-value  Intercept 286.429.6629.640.0001 Price 0.310.065.140.0006 Price Sq0.0000670.000070.950.3647\begin{array}{lrccc} & \text { Coeff } & \text { Std Error } & t \text { Stat } & p \text {-value } \\\hline \text { Intercept } & 286.42 & 9.66 & 29.64 & 0.0001 \\\text { Price } & -0.31 & 0.06 & -5.14 & 0.0006 \\\text { Price } S q & 0.000067 & 0.00007 & 0.95 & 0.3647 \\\hline\end{array}


-Referring to Table 15-3, does there appear to be significant upward curvature in the response curve relating the demand (Y) and the price (X) at 10% level of significance?


A) No, since the p-value for the test is greater than 0.10.
B) Yes, since the value of þ2 is positive.
C) Yes, since the p-value for the test is less than 0.10.
D) No, since the value of þ2 is near 0.

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