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An Elections Officer Wants to Model Voter Turnout (y)( y )

Question 98

Multiple Choice

An elections officer wants to model voter turnout (y) ( y ) in a precinct as a function of the type of precinct.
Consider the model relating mean voter turnout, E(y) E ( y ) , to precinct type:
E(y) =β0+β1x1+β2x2, where x1=1 if urban, 0 if not x2=1 if suburban, 0 if not  (Base level = rural)  \begin{array} { l l } E ( y ) = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } , \text { where } & x _ { 1 } = 1 \text { if urban, } 0 \text { if not } \\& x _ { 2 } = 1 \text { if suburban, } 0 \text { if not } \\& \text { (Base level = rural) }\end{array}
The pp -value for the test H0:β1=β2=0H _ { 0 } : \beta _ { 1 } = \beta _ { 2 } = 0 is . 14 . Interpret the result.


A) Reject H0H _ { 0 } at α=.10\alpha = .10 ; the model is useful for predicting voter turnout.
B) Reject H0H _ { 0 } at α=.01\alpha = .01 ; there is evidence of a difference between the mean voter turnouts for urban, suburban, and rural precincts.
C) Reject the model since it only explains 14%14 \% of the variation.
D) Do not reject H0H _ { 0 } at α=.10\alpha = .10 ; there is no evidence of a difference between the mean voter turnouts for urban, suburban, and rural precincts.

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