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Statistics for Managers Study Set 1
Exam 20: Probability and Combinatorics
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Question 241
Short Answer
SCENARIO 16-17 Given below are the prices of a basket of four food items from 2008 to 2012.
Year
Wheat($/Bushel)
Corn($/Bushel)
Soybeans($/Bushel)
Milk($/hundredweight)
2008
4.25
3.71
7.41
15.03
2009
3.43
2.7
7.55
13.63
2010
2.63
2.3
6.05
15.18
2011
2.11
1.97
4.68
14.72
2012
2.16
1.9
4.81
12.32
\begin{array} { c r r r r } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Wheat(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Corn(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Soybeans(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Milk(\$/hundredweight) } \\\hline 2008 & 4.25 & 3.71 & 7.41 & 15.03 \\2009 & 3.43 & 2.7 & 7.55 & 13.63 \\2010 & 2.63 & 2.3 & 6.05 & 15.18 \\2011 & 2.11 & 1.97 & 4.68 & 14.72 \\2012 & 2.16 & 1.9 & 4.81 & 12.32\end{array}
Year
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Wheat($/Bushel)
4.25
3.43
2.63
2.11
2.16
Corn($/Bushel)
3.71
2.7
2.3
1.97
1.9
Soybeans($/Bushel)
7.41
7.55
6.05
4.68
4.81
Milk($/hundredweight)
15.03
13.63
15.18
14.72
12.32
-Referring to Scenario 16-17, what are the simple price indices for wheat, corn, soybeans and milk, respectively, in 2011 using 2008 as the base year?
Question 242
Short Answer
SCENARIO 5-11 There are two houses with almost identical characteristics available for investment in two different neighborhoods with drastically different demographic composition. The anticipated gain in value when the houses are sold in 10 years has the following probability distribution:
-Referring to Scenario 5-11, if you can invest 30% of your money on the house in neighborhood A and the remaining on the house in neighborhood B, what is the portfolio expected return of your investment?
Question 243
True/False
The number of resamples is irrelevant in constructing a bootstrap confidence interval estimate for the population mean.
Question 244
Multiple Choice
A stock analyst was provided with a list of 25 stocks. He was expected to pick 3 stocks from the list whose prices are expected to rise by more than 20% after 30 days. In reality, the prices of Only 5 stocks would rise by more than 20% after 30 days. If he randomly selected 3 stocks from The list, he would use what type of probability distribution to compute the probability that all of The chosen stocks would appreciate more than 20% after 30 days?
Question 245
Short Answer
SCENARIO 16-16 Given below are the average prices for three types of energy products for five consecutive years.
Year
Electricity
Natural Gas
Fuel Oil
1
43.205
25.893
0.892
2
16.959
28.749
0.969
3
47.202
28.933
1.034
4
48.874
29.872
0.913
5
48.693
28.384
0.983
\begin{array} { r r r r } \text { Year } & \text { Electricity } & \text { Natural Gas } & \text { Fuel Oil } \\1 & 43.205 & 25.893 & 0.892 \\2 & 16.959 & 28.749 & 0.969 \\3 & 47.202 & 28.933 & 1.034 \\4 & 48.874 & 29.872 & 0.913 \\5 & 48.693 & 28.384 & 0.983\end{array}
Year
1
2
3
4
5
Electricity
43.205
16.959
47.202
48.874
48.693
Natural Gas
25.893
28.749
28.933
29.872
28.384
Fuel Oil
0.892
0.969
1.034
0.913
0.983
-Referring to Scenario 16-16, , what is the unweighted aggregate price index for the group of three energy items in year 5 using year 1 as the base year?
Question 246
True/False
Bootstrapping is used to construct an interval estimate for the population mean when you cannot assume that the population is normally distributed and the sample size is not large enough to apply the Central Limit Theorem.