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Statistics for Managers Study Set 1
Exam 20: Probability and Combinatorics
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Question 141
Short Answer
SCENARIO 16-17 Given below are the prices of a basket of four food items from 2008 to 2012.
 YearÂ
 Wheat($/Bushel)Â
 Corn($/Bushel)Â
 Soybeans($/Bushel)Â
 Milk($/hundredweight)Â
2008
4.25
3.71
7.41
15.03
2009
3.43
2.7
7.55
13.63
2010
2.63
2.3
6.05
15.18
2011
2.11
1.97
4.68
14.72
2012
2.16
1.9
4.81
12.32
\begin{array} { c r r r r } \hline \text { Year } & \text { Wheat(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Corn(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Soybeans(\$/Bushel) } & \text { Milk(\$/hundredweight) } \\\hline 2008 & 4.25 & 3.71 & 7.41 & 15.03 \\2009 & 3.43 & 2.7 & 7.55 & 13.63 \\2010 & 2.63 & 2.3 & 6.05 & 15.18 \\2011 & 2.11 & 1.97 & 4.68 & 14.72 \\2012 & 2.16 & 1.9 & 4.81 & 12.32\end{array}
 YearÂ
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
​
 Wheat($/Bushel)Â
4.25
3.43
2.63
2.11
2.16
​
 Corn($/Bushel)Â
3.71
2.7
2.3
1.97
1.9
​
 Soybeans($/Bushel)Â
7.41
7.55
6.05
4.68
4.81
​
 Milk($/hundredweight)Â
15.03
13.63
15.18
14.72
12.32
​
​
-Referring to Scenario 16-17, what is the unweighted aggregate price index for the basket of four food items in 2010 using 2008 as the base year?
Question 142
Short Answer
SCENARIO 11-13 An important factor in selecting database software is the time required for a user to learn how to use the system. To evaluate three potential brands (A, B and C) of database software, a company designed a test involving five different employees. To reduce variability due to differences among employees, each of the five employees is trained on each of the three different brands. The amount of time (in hours) needed to learn each of the three different brands is given below:
 SoftwareÂ
 OperatorÂ
 AÂ
 BÂ
 CÂ
1
17
17
23
2
18
17
23
3
14
13
19
4
12
11
18
5
19
17
22
 MeanÂ
16
15
21
\begin{array}{ | r | r | r | r | } \hline & & \text { Software } & \\\hline \text { Operator } & \text { A } & \text { B } & \text { C } \\\hline 1 & 17 & 17 & 23 \\\hline 2 & 18 & 17 & 23 \\\hline 3 & 14 & 13 & 19 \\\hline 4 & 12 & 11 & 18 \\\hline 5 & 19 & 17 & 22 \\\hline \text { Mean } & 16 & 15 & 21 \\\hline\end{array}
 OperatorÂ
1
2
3
4
5
 MeanÂ
​
 AÂ
17
18
14
12
19
16
​
 SoftwareÂ
 BÂ
17
17
13
11
17
15
​
 CÂ
23
23
19
18
22
21
​
​
 Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design:Â
\text { Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design: }
 Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design:Â
 Source of VariationÂ
S
S
d
f
 MSÂ
 FÂ
 P-valueÂ
 FcritÂ
 RowsÂ
84.66667
4
21.16667
50.8
9.98
E
−
06
3.837853
 ColumnsÂ
103.3333
2
51.66667
124
9.54
E
−
07
4.45897
 ErrorÂ
3.333333
8
0.416667
 TotalÂ
191.3333
14
\begin{array}{lrrrrrr}\hline \text { Source of Variation } & S S & d f & \text { MS } & {\text { F }} & \text { P-value } & \text { Fcrit } \\\hline \text { Rows } & 84.66667 & 4 & 21.16667 & 50.8 & 9.98 \mathrm{E}-06 & 3.837853 \\\text { Columns } & 103.3333 & 2 & 51.66667 & 124 & 9.54 \mathrm{E}-07 & 4.45897 \\\text { Error } & 3.333333 & 8 & 0.416667 & & & \\\text { Total } & 191.3333 & 14 & & & & \\\hline\end{array}
 Source of VariationÂ
 RowsÂ
 ColumnsÂ
 ErrorÂ
 TotalÂ
​
SS
84.66667
103.3333
3.333333
191.3333
​
df
4
2
8
14
​
 MSÂ
21.16667
51.66667
0.416667
​
 FÂ
50.8
124
​
 P-valueÂ
9.98
E
−
06
9.54
E
−
07
​
 FcritÂ
3.837853
4.45897
​
​
-Referring to Scenario 11-13, the value of MSA is __________, while MSBL is __________.
Question 143
Short Answer
SCENARIO 5-14 An accounting firm in a college town usually recruits employees from two of the universities in town. This year, there are fifteen graduates from University A and five from University B and the firm decides to hire six new employees from the two universities. -Referring to Scenario 5-14, what is the probability that none of the new employees will be from University A?
Question 144
Short Answer
SCENARIO 9-12 A drug company is considering marketing a new local anesthetic. The effective time of the anesthetic the drug company is currently producing has a normal distribution with a mean of 7.4 minutes with a standard deviation of 1.2 minutes. The chemistry of the new anesthetic is such that the effective time should be normally distributed with the same standard deviation. The company will market the new local anesthetic as being better if there is evidence that the population mean effective time is greater than the 7.4 minutes of the current local anesthetic. -Referring to Scenario 9-12, if you select a sample of 25 new local anesthetics and are willing to have a level of significance of 0.1, the confidence coefficient of the test is _____ if the population mean effective time is 8 minutes.
Question 145
Short Answer
SCENARIO 16-16 Given below are the average prices for three types of energy products for five consecutive years.
 YearÂ
 ElectricityÂ
 Natural GasÂ
 Fuel OilÂ
1
43.205
25.893
0.892
2
16.959
28.749
0.969
3
47.202
28.933
1.034
4
48.874
29.872
0.913
5
48.693
28.384
0.983
\begin{array} { r r r r } \text { Year } & \text { Electricity } & \text { Natural Gas } & \text { Fuel Oil } \\1 & 43.205 & 25.893 & 0.892 \\2 & 16.959 & 28.749 & 0.969 \\3 & 47.202 & 28.933 & 1.034 \\4 & 48.874 & 29.872 & 0.913 \\5 & 48.693 & 28.384 & 0.983\end{array}
 YearÂ
1
2
3
4
5
​
 ElectricityÂ
43.205
16.959
47.202
48.874
48.693
​
 Natural GasÂ
25.893
28.749
28.933
29.872
28.384
​
 Fuel OilÂ
0.892
0.969
1.034
0.913
0.983
​
-Referring to Scenario 16-16, what is the Laspeyres price index for the group of three energy items in year 5 for a family that consumed 15 units of electricity, 24 units of natural gas and 200 units of fuel oil in year 1 using hear 1 as the base year?
Question 146
Short Answer
SCENARIO 5-12 Two different designs on a new line of winter jackets for the coming winter are available for your manufacturing plants. Your profit (in thousands of dollars) will depend on the taste of the consumers when winter arrives. The probability of the three possible different tastes of the consumers and the corresponding profits are presented in the following table.
 ProbabilityÂ
 TasteÂ
 Design AÂ
 Design BÂ
0.2
 more conservativeÂ
180
520
0.5
 no changeÂ
230
310
0.3
 more liberalÂ
350
270
\begin{array} { | c | c | r | r | } \hline \text { Probability } & \text { Taste } & \text { Design A } & \text { Design B } \\\hline 0.2 & \text { more conservative } & 180 & 520 \\\hline 0.5 & \text { no change } & 230 & 310 \\\hline 0.3 & \text { more liberal } & 350 & 270 \\\hline\end{array}
 ProbabilityÂ
0.2
0.5
0.3
​
 TasteÂ
 more conservativeÂ
 no changeÂ
 more liberalÂ
​
 Design AÂ
180
230
350
​
 Design BÂ
520
310
270
​
​
-Referring to Scenario 5-12, if you decide to choose Design A for 90% of the production lines and Design B for the remaining production lines, what is the coefficient of variation of your investment?
Question 147
True/False
As a general rule, one can use the normal distribution to approximate a binomial distribution whenever the sample size is at least 30.
Question 148
Short Answer
SCENARIO 5-13 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Scenario 5-13, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, exactly two of the cars have non-defective radios?
Question 149
True/False
SCENARIO 12-21 A filling machine at a local soft drinks company is calibrated to fill the cans at a mean amount of 12 fluid ounces and a standard deviation of 0.5 ounces. The company wants to test whether the standard deviation of the amount filled by the machine is 0.5 ounces. A random sample of 15 cans filled by the machine reveals a standard deviation of 0.67 ounces. -Referring to Scenario 12-21, in order to perform the test, you need to assume that the amount filled by the machine follows a normal distribution.
Question 150
Short Answer
SCENARIO 11-13 An important factor in selecting database software is the time required for a user to learn how to use the system. To evaluate three potential brands (A, B and C) of database software, a company designed a test involving five different employees. To reduce variability due to differences among employees, each of the five employees is trained on each of the three different brands. The amount of time (in hours) needed to learn each of the three different brands is given below:
 SoftwareÂ
 OperatorÂ
 AÂ
 BÂ
 CÂ
1
17
17
23
2
18
17
23
3
14
13
19
4
12
11
18
5
19
17
22
 MeanÂ
16
15
21
\begin{array}{ | r | r | r | r | } \hline & & \text { Software } & \\\hline \text { Operator } & \text { A } & \text { B } & \text { C } \\\hline 1 & 17 & 17 & 23 \\\hline 2 & 18 & 17 & 23 \\\hline 3 & 14 & 13 & 19 \\\hline 4 & 12 & 11 & 18 \\\hline 5 & 19 & 17 & 22 \\\hline \text { Mean } & 16 & 15 & 21 \\\hline\end{array}
 OperatorÂ
1
2
3
4
5
 MeanÂ
​
 AÂ
17
18
14
12
19
16
​
 SoftwareÂ
 BÂ
17
17
13
11
17
15
​
 CÂ
23
23
19
18
22
21
​
​
 Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design:Â
\text { Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design: }
 Below is the Excel output for the randomized block design:Â
 Source of VariationÂ
S
S
d
f
 MSÂ
 FÂ
 P-valueÂ
 FcritÂ
 RowsÂ
84.66667
4
21.16667
50.8
9.98
E
−
06
3.837853
 ColumnsÂ
103.3333
2
51.66667
124
9.54
E
−
07
4.45897
 ErrorÂ
3.333333
8
0.416667
 TotalÂ
191.3333
14
\begin{array}{lrrrrrr}\hline \text { Source of Variation } & S S & d f & \text { MS } & {\text { F }} & \text { P-value } & \text { Fcrit } \\\hline \text { Rows } & 84.66667 & 4 & 21.16667 & 50.8 & 9.98 \mathrm{E}-06 & 3.837853 \\\text { Columns } & 103.3333 & 2 & 51.66667 & 124 & 9.54 \mathrm{E}-07 & 4.45897 \\\text { Error } & 3.333333 & 8 & 0.416667 & & & \\\text { Total } & 191.3333 & 14 & & & & \\\hline\end{array}
 Source of VariationÂ
 RowsÂ
 ColumnsÂ
 ErrorÂ
 TotalÂ
​
SS
84.66667
103.3333
3.333333
191.3333
​
df
4
2
8
14
​
 MSÂ
21.16667
51.66667
0.416667
​
 FÂ
50.8
124
​
 P-valueÂ
9.98
E
−
06
9.54
E
−
07
​
 FcritÂ
3.837853
4.45897
​
​
-Referring to Scenario 11-13, what is the value of the F test statistic for testing the block effects?
Question 151
Short Answer
SCENARIO 4-17 Jake woke up late in the morning on the day that he has to go to school to take an important test. He can either take the shuttle bus which is usually running late 20% of the time or ride his unreliable motorcycle which breaks down 40% of the time. He decides to toss a fair coin to make his choice. -Referring to Scenario 4-17, if Jake is late to the test, what is the probability that he rode his bike?
Question 152
Short Answer
SCENARIO 5-13 From an inventory of 48 new cars being shipped to local dealerships, corporate reports indicate that 12 have defective radios installed. -Referring to Scenario 5-13, what is the probability out of the 8 new cars it just received that, when each is tested, exactly half of the cars have defective radios?
Question 153
Short Answer
SCENARIO 6-7 The interval between consecutive hits at a web site is assumed to follow an exponential distribution with a mean of 40 hits per minute. -Referring to Scenario 6-7, what is the mean time between consecutive hits?