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Lauren Got an a on Her Math Test, Better Than

Question 43

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Lauren got an A on her math test, better than she expected based on her SAT math score of 500 and her C average in math courses overall. She said, "Wow, I am really getting better at math. I think I am a B math student now." Lauren has MOST likely made the thinking error of _____ while judging her math ability.


A) misuse of the availability heuristic
B) believing in the law of large numbers
C) committing the conjunction fallacy
D) ignoring regression to the mean

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