Exam 4: Probability

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Given P (A)= 0.45, P (B)= 0.30, P (A \cap B)= 0.05.Which of the following is true?

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D

A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs.The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers.The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C.The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected, what is the probability that the person prefers design A?

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B

Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks.Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Industry Sector \text { Industry Sector } Irvestrnent Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 84 21 35 140 Income 36 9 15 60 Total 120 30 50 200 Which of the following statements is true?

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B

An analysis of personal loans at a local bank revealed the following facts: 10% of all personal loans are in default (D), 90% of all personal loans are not in default (D΄), 20% of those in default are homeowners (H | D), and 70% of those not in default are homeowners (H | D΄).If a personal loan is selected at random, P (D | H)= ___________.

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Given the following joint probability table, find the probability that a dog is small and takes less than 30-minute walks? \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Walk Time \text { Walk Time } Type of Dog <30 \geq30 Total Bmall .29 .08 .36 Large .22 .41 .63 Total .51 .49 1.00

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The table below provides summary information about the students in a class.The sex of each individual and their age is given. Male Fernale Total Under 20 yrs old 10 8 18 Between 20 and 25 yrs old 12 18 30 Older tharn 25 yrs. 26 26 52 Total 48 52 100 A student is randomly selected from this group, and it is found that the student is older than 25 years.What is the probability that the student is a male?

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Meagan Dubean manages a portfolio of 200 common stocks.Her staff classified the portfolio stocks by 'industry sector' and 'investment objective.' \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Industry Sector \text { Industry Sector } Irvestment Objective Electronics Airlines Healthcare Total Growth 100 10 40 150 Income 20 20 10 50 Total 120 30 50 200 If a stock is selected randomly from Meagan's portfolio, P (Airlines|Income)= _______.

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An automobile dealer wishes to investigate the relation between the gender of the buyer and type of vehicle purchased.Based on the following joint probability table that was developed from the dealer's records for the previous year, P (SUV)= ___________. \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Buyer Gender \text { Buyer Gender } Type of Vehicle Female Male Total SUV Not SUV .30 .40 Total .60 1.00

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There are three companies that produce a critical electronic navigation component (ENC)used in the aerospace industry.These companies are Alice Manufacturing, Byte International, and Cognizant Technologies.Alice makes 85% of the ENCs, Byte makes 10%, and Cognizant makes the remaining 5%.The ENCs made by Alice have a 2.5% rate of defects, the ones made by Byte have a 4.0% rate of defects, and the ones made by Cognizant have a 6% rate of defects.If an ENC is randomly selected from the general population of ENCs, the probability that it was made by Alice is _______.If this ENC is later tested and found to be defective, the probability that it was made by Alice is _______.

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Max Sandlin researched the characteristics of stock market investors.He found that sixty percent of all investors have a net worth exceeding $1,000,000; 20% of all investors use an online brokerage; and 10% of all investors a have net worth exceeding $1,000,000 and use an online brokerage.An investor is selected randomly, and E is the event "net worth exceeds $1,000,000" and O is the event "uses an online brokerage." P(O \cup E)= _____________.

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Assigning probability 1/52 on drawing the ace of spade in a deck of cards is an example of assigning probabilities using the ________________ method

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Belinda Bose is reviewing a newly proposed advertising campaign.Based on her 15-years' experience, she believes the campaign has a 75% chance of significantly increasing brand name recognition of the product.This is an example of assigning probabilities using the ________________ method.

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Given P (A)= 0.45, P (B)= 0.30, P (A \cap B)= 0.05.Find P (A|B).

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In the conditional probability of P(E1|E2)is when E2 has occurred and then the probability of E1 occurring is determined.

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Suppose 5% of the population have a certain disease.A laboratory blood test gives a positive reading for 95% of people who have the disease.What is the probability of testing positive and having the disease?

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Suppose 5% of the population have a certain disease.A laboratory blood test gives a positive reading for 95% of people who have the disease and 10% positive reading of people who do not have the disease.What is the probability that a randomly selected person has the disease given that this person is testing positive?

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A market research firm is investigating the appeal of three package designs.The table below gives information obtained through a sample of 200 consumers.The three package designs are labeled A, B, and C.The consumers are classified according to age and package design preference. A B C Total Under 25 years 22 34 40 96 25 or older 54 28 22 104 Total 76 62 62 200 If one of these consumers is randomly selected and prefers design B, what is the probability that the person is 25 or older?

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A recently published study shows that 50% of Americans adults take multivitamins regularly.Another recent study showed that 20.6% of American adults work out regularly.Suppose that these two variables are independent.The probability that a randomly selected American adult takes multivitamins regularly and works out regularly is _______.

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If E and F are mutually exclusive, then _______.

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The department in which you work in your company has 24 employees: 10 women and 14 men.A team of 4 employees must be selected to represent the department at a companywide meeting in the headquarters of the company.The team must have two women and two men.How many different teams of 4 can be selected?

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