Exam 6: Decision Models

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What is a "fair" game?

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The expected regret criterion will always yield the same optimal decision as which other criterion?

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Consider the payoff table in problem 7.Suppose that the probabilities of states of nature S2 and S3 occurring are equal and that the probability of state of nature S4 occurring is .50.If the probability of state of nature S1 occurring is three times the probability of state of nature S2 occurring, the optimal decision under the expected value criterion is:

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The payoff table always has more states of nature than decision alternatives.

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The "principle of insufficient reason" indicates the decision maker's belief that any state of nature is as likely to occur as any other state.

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"Expected value" in decision analysis is synonymous with "most likely value."

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