Exam 17: Choice Making Under Uncertainty

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Which of the following represents the utility function of a risk lover?

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The reservation demand price for insurance is:

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The effort of carrying an umbrella reduces my utility by 1/2 a unit. If it rains and I have no umbrella, my utility falls by 3 units, whilst it only falls by 1 unit if I do have an umbrella. I consider that the probability it will rain is 1/2.Therefore I carry an umbrella.

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An individual is said to be risk- averse if:

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Suppose you are given the following preference information: a: (0, 1, 0: 3000, 2000, 1000)is indifferent to b: (3/4, 0, 1/4: 3000, 2000, 1000). If U(3000)= 1, U(1000)= 0, and U(2000)=5/8. What is the correct preference ranking?

(Multiple Choice)
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The expected utility hypothesis requires all of the assumptions used to study utility under certainty and all of the following except:

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Bianca loves the Toronto Blue Jays. This year they made it to the World Series. Bianca has $1000 in savings. She could spend $600 of the $1000 in making Blue Jays baseball caps. Then, if the Blue Jays win, she estimates that she would earn $1500. If they lose, she won't be able to sell any of her stock. Bianca figures that the Blue Jays have a 0.6 chance of winning the World Series. Bianca's utility function is given by U(w)=w1/2 . i)If Bianca is an expected utility maximizer, will she make the $600 investment into Blue Jays caps? ii)Suppose that a friend offers her insurance. He says to Bianca, "If you pay me F dollars whether or not the Blue Jays win, then, in the event that they lose, I will pay you $1500, the amount that you would have earned had they won the World Series. If the Blue Jays lose, I will pay you nothing." What is the maximum value of F that Bianca is willing to pay for the insurance policy?

(Essay)
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Consider the following prospects, in which w1 > w2 > w3; a: (1/3, 1/3, 1/3: w1, w2, w3); b: (1/4, 1/2, 1/4: w1, w2, w3); and c: (0, 1, 0: w1, w2, w3). Shelly reports that a is preferred to b, and that c is preferred to a.

(Multiple Choice)
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Maya's bracelet is worth $100. There is a 25% chance that it will be stolen from the locker room at the gym. Maya's utility function for money is U(W)= W2. Maya is able to buy an insurance policy to cover her bracelet against theft. How much would she be willing to pay for the insurance?

(Multiple Choice)
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A slot machine:

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When individuals are risk- averse:

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Lotteries are a form of gambling with an expected payoff of less than one. yet we often see that winners of very large prices bought their tickets as a group. Why does this seem contradictory?

(Essay)
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Will is playing on a game show. He must choose between two offers. The first offer is a payment of $2000, which he can take for simply being on the show, or he can enter a gamble. In the gamble, he chooses one of two curtains that conceal two items. He makes a draw for curtain one or two, from a hat; he receives the gift behind the curtain picked. He knows that behind one curtain is an automobile valued at $4000 and behind other curtain is a set of encyclopedias valued at $500. If his initial wealth is $1000 and his utility function can be described by U(w)= 1 - 1000/w, then what must be the probability of drawing the car for Will to be indifferent between the two choices?

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State- dependent preferences depend on:

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If an individual prefers a risky prospect to a sure prospect then:

(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose you are given the following preference information: a: (0, 1, 0: 3000, 2000, 1000)is indifferent to b: (3/4, 0, 1/4: 3000, 2000, 1000). If U(3000)= 1 and U(1000)= 0, what is U(2000)?

(Multiple Choice)
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A risk- averse individual will:

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The validity of the expected utility hypothesis requires that:

(Multiple Choice)
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Benny is a expected utility maximizer with a well- behaved, continuously differentiable utility function (i.e., no kinks or inflection points). i)Benny is presented with the following choices: A. $1,000 for sure B. 50% chance of $800 and 50% chance of $1,500 C. $500 for sure D. 50% chance of $400 and 50% chance of $900 Benny is indifferent between A and B and is also indifferent between C and D. (Note: this does not imply that he is indifferent between A and C or B and D.) Is Benny risk neutral, risk averse, risk loving, or can't you tell? Explain. ii)He is now faced with the following choice: E. $750 for sure F. 25% chance of $400 and 25% chance of $900 and 25% chance of $800 and 25% chance of $1,500. Will Benny choose E or F, or is he indifferent between them, or is not possible to tell?

(Essay)
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If an individual is risk averse, then:

(Multiple Choice)
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