Exam 6: Probability

arrow
  • Select Tags
search iconSearch Question
flashcardsStudy Flashcards
  • Select Tags

NARRBEGIN: Cysts Cysts After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient.NARREND -{Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient has a benign tumor if he or she tests positive?

Free
(Essay)
4.8/5
(30)
Correct Answer:
Verified

P(B/+) = P(+ and B) / P(+) = P(+/B) · P(B) / P(+) = (.20)(.85) / (.29) = .586

NARRBEGIN: Cysts Cysts After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient.NARREND -{Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient will test positive?

Free
(Essay)
5.0/5
(35)
Correct Answer:
Verified

P(+)=P(+ and M)+P(+ and E)=P(+M)P(M)+P(+D)P(B)=(80)(.15)+(.20)(.85)=.29\begin{aligned}P ( + ) & = P ( + \text { and } M ) + P ( + \text { and } E ) = P ( + |M ) \cdot P ( M ) + P ( + | D ) \cdot P ( B ) \\& = ( 80 ) ( .15 ) + ( .20 ) ( .85 ) = .29\end{aligned}

There are ____________________ requirements of probabilities for the outcomes of a sample space.

Free
(Short Answer)
4.8/5
(30)
Correct Answer:
Verified

two
2

NARRBEGIN: Hobby Shop Sales Hobby Shop Sales Sales records of a hobby shop showed the following number of radio controlled trucks sold weekly for each of the last 50 weeks. Number of Trucks Sold Number of Weeks 0 20 1 15 2 10 3 4 4 1 NARREND -{Hobby Shop Sales Narrative} What is the probability of selling at least two trucks in any given week?

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(42)

If P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(A and B) = 0, then A and B are:

(Multiple Choice)
4.9/5
(36)

Events A and B are either independent or mutually exclusive.

(True/False)
4.8/5
(32)

NARRBEGIN: Equity Loan Rates Equity Loan Rates A survey of banks estimated the following probabilities for the interest rate being charged on a equity loan based on a 30-year loan, based on past records. Interest Rate 0.0\% 6.5\% 7.0\% 7.5\% >7.5\% Probability 0.20 0.23 0.25 0.28 .04 NARREND -{Equity Loan Rates Narrative} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution, what is the probability that the interest rate charged on a home loan exceeds 7.0%?

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(29)

Which of the following statements is false?

(Multiple Choice)
4.9/5
(39)

A(n) ____________________ is a collection or set of one or more simple events in a sample space.

(Short Answer)
4.8/5
(37)

The probability of an intersection of two events is called a(n) ____________________ probability.

(Short Answer)
4.7/5
(31)

NARRBEGIN: Construction Bids Construction Bids A construction company has submitted bids on two separate state contracts, A and B. The company feels that it has a 60% chance of winning contract A, and a 50% chance of winning contract B. Furthermore, the company believes that it has an 80% chance of winning contract A if it wins contract B.NARREND -{Construction Bids Narrative} What is the probability that the company will win at most one of the two contracts?

(Essay)
4.8/5
(37)

If P(B) = .7 and P(B|A) = .4, then P(A and B) must be .28.

(True/False)
5.0/5
(35)

Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1) ____________________ probabilities; 2) likelihood probabilities; and 3) posterior probabilities.

(Short Answer)
4.8/5
(31)

NARRBEGIN: GPA and Class GPA and Class A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank. GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors). One student is selected at random. GPA Class Under 2.0 2.0- 3. 0 Over 3.0 Under 0.05 0.25 0.10 Upper 0.10 0.30 0.20 NARREND -{GPA and Class Narrative} If the GPA of the student selected is over 3.0, what is the probability that the student is in the lower class?

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(35)

The probability of the union of two mutually exclusive events A and B is 0.

(True/False)
4.7/5
(36)

If the event of interest is A, the probability that A will not occur is the complement of A.

(True/False)
4.8/5
(37)

A conditional probability of A given B is written in probability notation as ____________________.

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(36)

Predicting the outcome of a football game is using the subjective approach to probability.

(True/False)
4.9/5
(31)

Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1) prior probabilities; 2) likelihood probabilities; and 3) ____________________ probabilities.

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(31)

NARRBEGIN: Hobby Shop Sales Hobby Shop Sales Sales records of a hobby shop showed the following number of radio controlled trucks sold weekly for each of the last 50 weeks. Number of Trucks Sold Number of Weeks 0 20 1 15 2 10 3 4 4 1 NARREND -{Hobby Shop Sales Narrative} What is the probability of selling between 1 and 3 (inclusive) trucks in any given week?

(Short Answer)
4.9/5
(38)
Showing 1 - 20 of 237
close modal

Filters

  • Essay(0)
  • Multiple Choice(0)
  • Short Answer(0)
  • True False(0)
  • Matching(0)