Exam 6: Probability
Exam 1: What Is Statistics43 Questions
Exam 2: Graphical Descriptive Techniques I93 Questions
Exam 3: Graphical Descriptive Techniques II140 Questions
Exam 4: Numerical Descriptive Techniques316 Questions
Exam 5: Data Collection and Sampling82 Questions
Exam 6: Probability237 Questions
Exam 7: Random Variables and Discrete Probability Distributions277 Questions
Exam 8: Continuous Probability Distributions215 Questions
Exam 9: Sampling Distributions154 Questions
Exam 10: Introduction to Estimation152 Questions
Exam 11: Introduction to Hypothesis Testing187 Questions
Exam 12: Inference About a Population149 Questions
Exam 13: Inference About Comparing Two Populations168 Questions
Exam 14: Analysis of Variance157 Questions
Exam 15: Chi-Squared Tests Optional175 Questions
Exam 16: Simple Linear Regression and Correlation301 Questions
Exam 17: Multiple Regression158 Questions
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NARRBEGIN: Cysts
Cysts
After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient.NARREND
-{Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient has a benign tumor if he or she tests positive?
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(Essay)
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Correct Answer:
P(B/+) = P(+ and B) / P(+) = P(+/B) · P(B) / P(+) = (.20)(.85) / (.29) = .586
NARRBEGIN: Cysts
Cysts
After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient.NARREND
-{Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient will test positive?
Free
(Essay)
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Correct Answer:
There are ____________________ requirements of probabilities for the outcomes of a sample space.
Free
(Short Answer)
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Correct Answer:
two
2
NARRBEGIN: Hobby Shop Sales
Hobby Shop Sales
Sales records of a hobby shop showed the following number of radio controlled trucks sold weekly for each of the last 50 weeks. Number of Trucks Sold Number of Weeks 0 20 1 15 2 10 3 4 4 1 NARREND
-{Hobby Shop Sales Narrative} What is the probability of selling at least two trucks in any given week?
(Short Answer)
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If P(A) = 0.20, P(B) = 0.30, and P(A and B) = 0, then A and B are:
(Multiple Choice)
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NARRBEGIN: Equity Loan Rates
Equity Loan Rates
A survey of banks estimated the following probabilities for the interest rate being charged on a equity loan based on a 30-year loan, based on past records. Interest Rate 0.0\% 6.5\% 7.0\% 7.5\% >7.5\% Probability 0.20 0.23 0.25 0.28 .04 NARREND
-{Equity Loan Rates Narrative} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution, what is the probability that the interest rate charged on a home loan exceeds 7.0%?
(Short Answer)
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A(n) ____________________ is a collection or set of one or more simple events in a sample space.
(Short Answer)
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The probability of an intersection of two events is called a(n) ____________________ probability.
(Short Answer)
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NARRBEGIN: Construction Bids
Construction Bids
A construction company has submitted bids on two separate state contracts, A and B. The company feels that it has a 60% chance of winning contract A, and a 50% chance of winning contract B. Furthermore, the company believes that it has an 80% chance of winning contract A if it wins contract B.NARREND
-{Construction Bids Narrative} What is the probability that the company will win at most one of the two contracts?
(Essay)
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Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1) ____________________ probabilities; 2) likelihood probabilities; and 3) posterior probabilities.
(Short Answer)
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NARRBEGIN: GPA and Class
GPA and Class
A college professor classifies his students according to their grade point average (GPA) and their class rank. GPA is on a 0.0-4.0 scale, and class rank is defined as the under class (freshmen and sophomores) and the upper class (juniors and seniors). One student is selected at random. GPA Class Under 2.0 2.0- 3. 0 Over 3.0 Under 0.05 0.25 0.10 Upper 0.10 0.30 0.20 NARREND
-{GPA and Class Narrative} If the GPA of the student selected is over 3.0, what is the probability that the student is in the lower class?
(Short Answer)
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The probability of the union of two mutually exclusive events A and B is 0.
(True/False)
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If the event of interest is A, the probability that A will not occur is the complement of A.
(True/False)
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A conditional probability of A given B is written in probability notation as ____________________.
(Short Answer)
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Predicting the outcome of a football game is using the subjective approach to probability.
(True/False)
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Bayes' Law involves three different types of probabilities: 1) prior probabilities; 2) likelihood probabilities; and 3) ____________________ probabilities.
(Short Answer)
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NARRBEGIN: Hobby Shop Sales
Hobby Shop Sales
Sales records of a hobby shop showed the following number of radio controlled trucks sold weekly for each of the last 50 weeks. Number of Trucks Sold Number of Weeks 0 20 1 15 2 10 3 4 4 1 NARREND
-{Hobby Shop Sales Narrative} What is the probability of selling between 1 and 3 (inclusive) trucks in any given week?
(Short Answer)
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