Exam 17: Multiple Regression

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Which of the following statements regarding multicollinearity is not true?

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C

When an explanatory variable is dropped from a multiple regression model, the adjusted coefficient of determination can increase.

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In a multiple regression model, the probability distribution of the error variable ε\varepsilon is assumed to be:

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A multiple regression equation includes 5 independent variables, and the coefficient of determination is 0.81. The percentage of the variation in y that is explained by the regression equation is:

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NARRBEGIN: Real Estate Builder Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income, family size, and education of the head of household. House size is measured in hundreds of square feet, income is measured in thousands of dollars, and education is measured in years. A partial computer output is shown below.SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R. Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 3605.7736 901.4434 0.0001 Residual 1214.2264 26.9828 Total 49 4820.0000 Coeff st.error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.798 Family Income 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 NARREND -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which all explanatory variables are significant individually: α\alpha = .01, .05, .10, or .15?

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NARRBEGIN: Real Estate Builder Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income, family size, and education of the head of household. House size is measured in hundreds of square feet, income is measured in thousands of dollars, and education is measured in years. A partial computer output is shown below.SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R. Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 3605.7736 901.4434 0.0001 Residual 1214.2264 26.9828 Total 49 4820.0000 Coeff st.error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.798 Family Income 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 NARREND -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} Suppose the builder wants to test whether the coefficient on income is significantly different from 0. What is the value of the relevant t-statistic?

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If the value of the Durbin-Watson statistic d is large (d > 2), this indicates a(n) ____________________ (positive/negative) first-order autocorrelation exists.

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NARRBEGIN: Life Expectancy Life Expectancy An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live. After consulting a number of physicians, she collected the age at death (y), the average number of hours of exercise per week (x1), the cholesterol level (x2), and the number of points that the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value (x3). A random sample of 40 individuals was selected. The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below.THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 55.8 + 1.79x1 - 0.021x2 -0.061x3 predictor Coef SUDev T Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 S=9.47RSq=22.5%S = 9.47 \quad R - S q = 22.5 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repression 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Tatol 39 4166 NARREND -{Life Expectancy Narrative} What is the coefficient of determination? What does this statistic tell you?

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NARRBEGIN: Real Estate Builder Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income, family size, and education of the head of household. House size is measured in hundreds of square feet, income is measured in thousands of dollars, and education is measured in years. A partial computer output is shown below.SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R. Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 3605.7736 901.4434 0.0001 Residual 1214.2264 26.9828 Total 49 4820.0000 Coeff st.error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.798 Family Income 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 NARREND -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} What are the regression degrees of freedom that are missing from the output?

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A multiple regression model involves 5 independent variables and a sample of 10 data points. If we want to test the validity of the model at the 5% significance level, the critical value is:

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NARRBEGIN: Real Estate Builder Real Estate Builder A real estate builder wishes to determine how house size is influenced by family income, family size, and education of the head of household. House size is measured in hundreds of square feet, income is measured in thousands of dollars, and education is measured in years. A partial computer output is shown below.SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.865 R. Square 0.748 Adjusted R Square 0.726 Standard Error 5.195 Observations 50 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 3605.7736 901.4434 0.0001 Residual 1214.2264 26.9828 Total 49 4820.0000 Coeff st.error -value Intercept -1.6335 5.807 -0.281 0.798 Family Income 0.4485 0.1137 3.9545 0.0003 Family Size 4.2615 0.8062 5.286 0.0001 Education -0.6517 0.4319 -1.509 0.1383 NARREND -{Real Estate Builder Narrative} When the builder used a simple linear regression model with house size as the dependent variable and education as the independent variable, he obtained an R-square value of 23.0%. What additional percentage of the total variation in house size has been explained by including family size and income in the multiple regression?

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Three predictor variables are being considered for use in a linear regression model. Given the correlation matrix below, does it appear that multicollinearity could be a problem? 1.000 0.025 1.000 0.968 0.897 1.000

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When the independent variables are correlated with one another in a multiple regression analysis, this condition is called:

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From the coefficient of determination, we cannot detect the strength of the relationship between the dependent variable y and any individual independent variable.

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If multicollinearity exists among the independent variables included in a multiple regression model, then:

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One clue to the presence of multicollinearity is an independent variable known to be an important predictor that ends up having a regression coefficient that is not ____________________.

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____________________ is a condition that exists when independent variables are correlated with one another.

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Test the hypotheses: H0: There is no first-order autocorrelation vs. H1: There is negative first-order autocorrelation, given that: Durbin-Watson Statistic d = 1.75, n = 20, k = 2, and α\alpha = 0.01.

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NARRBEGIN: Life Expectancy Life Expectancy An actuary wanted to develop a model to predict how long individuals will live. After consulting a number of physicians, she collected the age at death (y), the average number of hours of exercise per week (x1), the cholesterol level (x2), and the number of points that the individual's blood pressure exceeded the recommended value (x3). A random sample of 40 individuals was selected. The computer output of the multiple regression model is shown below.THE REGRESSION EQUATION IS y = 55.8 + 1.79x1 - 0.021x2 -0.061x3 predictor Coef SUDev T Constant 55.8 11.8 4.729 1.79 0.44 4.068 -0.021 0.011 -1.909 -0.016 0.014 -1.143 S=9.47RSq=22.5%S = 9.47 \quad R - S q = 22.5 \% ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE Source of Variation Repression 3 936 312 3.477 Error 36 3230 89.722 Tatol 39 4166 NARREND -{Life Expectancy Narrative} Interpret the coefficient b1.

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In reference to the equation y^=0.80+0.12x1+0.08x2\hat { y } = - 0.80 + 0.12 x _ { 1 } + 0.08 x _ { 2 } , the value -0.80 is the y-intercept.

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