Exam 12: Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market

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The multiplier approach for estimating the intrinsic market value of a major stock market series requires the following step(s):

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E

Exhibit 12.9 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) The aggregate market currently has a retention ratio of 60 percent, a required rate of return of 12 percent, and an expected growth rate for dividends of 4 percent. -Refer to Exhibit 12.9. Starting with the initial conditions, you expect the retention ratio to be constant, the rate of inflation to decline by 2 percent, and the growth rate to decline by 1 percent. What is the expected P/E?

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Exhibit 12.5 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) An analyst wishes to estimate the share price for Ashley Corporation. The following information is made available: Estimated profit margin = 15% Total asset turnover = 2 Financial leverage = 1.2 Estimated dividend payout ratio = 75% Required rate of return = 14% Estimated EPS = $2.50 -Refer to Exhibit 12.5. Calculate the P/E multiple.

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Recent studies indicate that one can earn excess returns in the stock market by forecasting unanticipated changes in the money supply.

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Which of the following is not an analytical measure used by the NBER to examine behavior within a series?

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All of the following factors affect the required rate of return except

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Future tax rates are difficult to estimate because they are politically influenced.

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The dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 50 percent, the required rate of return is 16 percent, and the expected growth rate for dividends is 6 percent. Compute the current earnings multiple.

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As the market's return on equity increases so will the P/E ratio.

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Which of the following economic series is not included in the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) lagging indicator group?

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An increase in the retention ratio will cause a decrease in the growth rate.

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Exhibit 12.7 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) You are using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) technique to analyze U.S. equity market. The beginning FCFE is $90 and the required rate of return is 10%. Free cash flows are expected to grow at a 10% rate for the next two years and then grow at a constant rate of 7% forever. -Compute the current earnings multiple if the dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 60 percent, the required rate of return is 11%, and the dividend growth rate is 8%.

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Which of the following is not a reason given for why forecaster are so often incorrect?

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Exhibit 12.7 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) You are using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) technique to analyze U.S. equity market. The beginning FCFE is $90 and the required rate of return is 10%. Free cash flows are expected to grow at a 10% rate for the next two years and then grow at a constant rate of 7% forever. -Refer to Exhibit 12.7. What would the estimated value of the U.S. market be today using the FCFE approach, if the growth rate was expected to be a constant 8% indefinitely, instead of the 10% and 7% estimates?

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Interest rate spread, 10-year Treasury bonds less federal funds, is listed as a lagging indicator in the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).

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The index of leading indicators includes all of the following, except:

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Leading indicators of the business cycle include economic series that reach peaks or troughs before the peaks and troughs of the overall economy.

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The authors of the text prefer forward valuation ratios as opposed to historical valuation variables in relative valuation methods.

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Over the last 20 years, increases in the return on equity for the S&P Index has been associated with decreases in return of assets.

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The best known monetary variable is the level of taxes.

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