Exam 12: Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market
Exam 1: The Investment Setting72 Questions
Exam 2: The Asset Allocation Decision80 Questions
Exam 3: Selecting Investments in a Global Market81 Questions
Exam 4: Organization and Functioning of Securities Markets91 Questions
Exam 5: Security-Market Indexes84 Questions
Exam 6: Efficient Capital Markets90 Questions
Exam 7: An Introduction to Portfolio Management97 Questions
Exam 8: An Introduction to Asset Pricing Models119 Questions
Exam 9: Multifactor Models of Risk and Return59 Questions
Exam 10: Analysis of Financial Statements89 Questions
Exam 11: Introduction to Security Valuation86 Questions
Exam 12: Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market119 Questions
Exam 13: Industry Analysis90 Questions
Exam 14: Company Analysis and Stock Valuation133 Questions
Exam 15: Technical Analysis83 Questions
Exam 16: Equity Portfolio Management Strategies58 Questions
Exam 17: Bond Fundamentals89 Questions
Exam 18: The Analysis and Valuation of Bonds108 Questions
Exam 19: Bond Portfolio Management Strategies87 Questions
Exam 20: An Introduction to Derivative Markets and Securities108 Questions
Exam 21: Forward and Futures Contracts99 Questions
Exam 22: Option Contracts106 Questions
Exam 23: Swap Contracts, Convertible Securities, and Other Embedded Derivatives87 Questions
Exam 24: Professional Money Management, Alternative Assets, and Industry Ethics102 Questions
Exam 25: Evaluation of Portfolio Performance96 Questions
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The dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 55 percent, the required rate of return is 15 percent, and the expected growth rate for dividends is 7 percent. Compute the current earnings multiple.
(Multiple Choice)
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The dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 65 percent, the required rate of return is 13 percent, and the expected growth rate for dividends is 8 percent. Compute the current earnings multiple.
(Multiple Choice)
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The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is an example of a leading indicator.
(True/False)
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An analysis of U.S. equity markets using the cash flow techniques concludes that the market is not fully valued.
(True/False)
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Building permits for new private housing units are listed as a leading indicator by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
(True/False)
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Exhibit 12.8
USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S)
As an economist for a research firm you are forecasting the market P/E ratio using the dividend discount model. Because the economy has been slow for 5 years, you expect the dividend-payout ratio to be 55%. Long-term government bond rates are at 6% and the equity risk premium is estimated to be 3%. Return on equity (ROE) is estimated to be 11%.
-Refer to Exhibit 12.8. What is the expected growth rate?
(Multiple Choice)
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The valuation techniques presented in the chapter can only be applied to the stock market in the United States, since the U.S. stock market is inefficient.
(True/False)
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Exhibit 12.3
USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S)
Assume that the dividend payout ratio will be 55 percent when the rate on long-term government bonds falls to 9 percent. Since investors are becoming more risk averse, the equity risk premium will rise to 8 percent and investors will require a 7 percent return. The return on equity will be 13 percent.
-Refer to Exhibit 12.3. To what price will the market rise if the earnings expectation is $1.5?
(Multiple Choice)
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You are attempting to estimate expected earnings per share for a major stock market series. You have determined an appropriate estimate for sales per share. Which of the following methods can be used to estimate the profit margin?
(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following is not a factor under the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) Model?
(Multiple Choice)
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Exhibit 12.6
USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S)
Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. Year 2003 Estimated Year 2004 GDP 11,000 Billion GDP growth 3.5\% Sales per share \ 800 Operating profit margin 12\% Depreciation/Fixed Assets 14\% Fixed asset turnover 2 Interest rate 3.5\% Total asset turnover 0.7 Debt/Total assets 45\% Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is
% Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(% GDP)
-Refer to Exhibit 12.6. Estimate the firm's sales per share for the year 2004.
(Multiple Choice)
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There is a negative relationship between the capacity utilization rate and the profit margin.
(True/False)
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Exhibit 12.6
USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S)
Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. Year 2003 Estimated Year 2004 GDP 11,000 Billion GDP growth 3.5\% Sales per share \ 800 Operating profit margin 12\% Depreciation/Fixed Assets 14\% Fixed asset turnover 2 Interest rate 3.5\% Total asset turnover 0.7 Debt/Total assets 45\% Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is
% Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(% GDP)
-Refer to Exhibit 12.6. Calculate the firm's level of Total Assets per share for the year 2004.
(Multiple Choice)
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The U.S. balance of payments, the federal deficit and military contract awards are ____ of aggregate economic activity.
(Multiple Choice)
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A main limitation of the NBER indicator series is false signals.
(True/False)
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It is more important to estimate future earnings than the future earnings multiplier.
(True/False)
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Which of the following economic series is not included in the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) coincident economic indicator group?
(Multiple Choice)
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If, for the S&P Industrials Index, the profit margin was 0.35 and the equity turnover ratio was 10, the ROE would be:
(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following economic series is not included in the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) leading indicator group?
(Multiple Choice)
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