Exam 12: Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market

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The dividend payout ratio, the required rate of return on common equity, and the expected growth rate of stock dividends are the major variables that affect

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Excess liquidity is defined as

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If a diffusion index for new orders went from 87 to 74 and then to 68, it would indicate ____ receipt of new orders and indicate a ____ in breadth and the possibility of a future ____ in the series.

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It is important to analyze the economies and security markets before analyzing alternative industries or companies.

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The growth rate will most likely increase if the:

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There are three techniques available to help an investor make a market decision. Which of the following is not such an analysis technique?

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Exhibit 12.5 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) An analyst wishes to estimate the share price for Ashley Corporation. The following information is made available: Estimated profit margin = 15% Total asset turnover = 2 Financial leverage = 1.2 Estimated dividend payout ratio = 75% Required rate of return = 14% Estimated EPS = $2.50 -Refer to Exhibit 12.5. The firm's sustainable growth rate is

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Exhibit 12.6 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. Year 2003 Estimated Year 2004 GDP 11,000 Billion GDP growth 3.5\% Sales per share \ 800 Operating profit margin 12\% Depreciation/Fixed Assets 14\% Fixed asset turnover 2 Interest rate 3.5\% Total asset turnover 0.7 Debt/Total assets 45\% Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is % Δ\Delta Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(% Δ\Delta GDP) -Refer to Exhibit 12.6. Obtain an estimate of the per share depreciation charge for the year 2004.

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Expected earnings per share estimates requires all of the following except

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Exhibit 12.3 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) Assume that the dividend payout ratio will be 55 percent when the rate on long-term government bonds falls to 9 percent. Since investors are becoming more risk averse, the equity risk premium will rise to 8 percent and investors will require a 7 percent return. The return on equity will be 13 percent. -Refer to Exhibit 12.3. What is the expected sustainable growth rate?

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Dividend growth is positively related to the return on equity.

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If interest rates rise due to inflation, and expected cash flows to a firm rise, then you would expect stock prices to

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Exhibit 12.6 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. Year 2003 Estimated Year 2004 GDP 11,000 Billion GDP growth 3.5\% Sales per share \ 800 Operating profit margin 12\% Depreciation/Fixed Assets 14\% Fixed asset turnover 2 Interest rate 3.5\% Total asset turnover 0.7 Debt/Total assets 45\% Tax rate 36\% In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is % Δ\Delta Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(% Δ\Delta GDP) -Refer to Exhibit 12.6. Calculate the firm's EBT per share for the year 2004.

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Which of the following economic series are included in the NBER lagging indicator series?

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A microeconomic estimate of the market earnings multiple requires an estimate for which of the following variables?

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Unit labor costs, the rate of inflation, the level of foreign competition, and the capacity utilization rate were variables tested by Finkel and Tuttle as determinants of the

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If, for the S&P Industrials Index, the profit margin was .25 and the equity turnover ratio was 12, the ROE would be:

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The economy and the stock market have a strong, consistent relationship, but the stock market generally turns before the economy does.

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Exhibit 12.7 USE THE INFORMATION BELOW FOR THE FOLLOWING PROBLEM(S) You are using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) technique to analyze U.S. equity market. The beginning FCFE is $90 and the required rate of return is 10%. Free cash flows are expected to grow at a 10% rate for the next two years and then grow at a constant rate of 7% forever. -Refer to Exhibit 12.7. What is the estimated value of the U.S. market today using the FCFE approach?

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