Exam 7: Likelihood and Uncertainty: Understanding Probabilities

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Predicting how you will feel in the future if a particular event occurs is called __________, and people are very __________ at it.

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Measures like the average (mean) or median of a group are called

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Draw a tree diagram representing the possible outcomes of 4 flips of a fair coin. Why would you be likely to be correct if you guessed a pattern of "50% heads, 50% tails"?

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Dr. Evil's "Rate My Professor" rating keeps getting higher, even though he tries to keep it as low as possible (he was down to 0.2!) He decides he must be getting nicer in his old age and to be meaner than ever to his statistics students this year! The change in Dr. Evil's ratings are most likely due to

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A risk that is __________ is often perceived to be less risky or less hazardous than other risks.

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What is the probability of getting a 4 or a 6 on one roll of a single die?

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