Exam 8: T Tests

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California is a beautiful place to live, but it is also crowded and expensive. Given the good and the bad of living here, I wonder whether Californian's, on average, differ from other Americans in how happy they are. I happen to know that on a 10-point scale (1 = miserable, 10 = extremely happy) American adults have an average score of 5. I select a random sample of 100 Californian adults and find that they have an average score of 6 with a standard deviation of 3 on the happiness scale. a. State the null and alternative hypotheses b. State your degrees of freedom: c. Find and report your critical value for t. For an alpha level of .05, tc= ±\pm 2.000. d. Compute your observed t-value. e. Decide whether to reject or fail to reject Ho . f. Is this a statistically significant difference? g. What does that mean, exactly? h. Calculate and report a 95% confidence interval for the sample mean and wrap words around it."

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a. Ho: Sample mean = population mean
HA: Sample mean does not equal population mean.
b. 100 - 1 = 99
c. NOTE: Because it is 2-tailed, you must have a plus-minus critical value. This means that if your calculated, or observed, t value is either greater than 2.000 or less than -2.000, your result will be statistically significant. Also note that I used 60 degrees of freedom in Appendix B rather than 120. Even though 99 is closer to 120 than it is to 60, go with the smaller number when you have a df between two numbers. If your results are significant at the smaller df, they will be significant at the larger df.
d. First I need to calculate a standard error of the mean:
sx= 3/?100 \rightarrow 3/10 \rightarrow .30

t0 = (6 - 5)/.30 \rightarrow 1/.30 \rightarrow 3.33.
e. I am going to REJECT the null hypothesis because my observed t value exceeds my critical t value. IN other words, 3.33>2.000, so reject the null hypothesis
f. Yes.
g. The chances of obtaining my results by chance were less than 5% (p < alpha), therefore I decide my results are statistically significant.
h. CI95 = 6 \rightarrow (.30) (2.000) \rightarrow 6 \rightarrow .60 \rightarrow 5.40, 6.60. I am 95% confident that the average level of happiness in the population of Californians is between 5.40 and 6.60. Notice how this interval does not include the population mean of Americans, which was 5? We already knew this because our result was statistically significant, meaning that the sample mean was different from the population mean at the .05 level. Also notice that our population we are talking about in this confidence interval is the population of CALIFORNIANS. We are concluding that the population of Californians differs in happiness from the population of Americans. Notice how we used sample data to reach a conclusion about populations? That is the crux of inferential statistics.

When I was a student at the University of Michigan, we had a little saying that we liked to use with students who attended other universities: "We're not snobs-we're just better than you." To prove it, I collected data from 61 randomly selected undergrads at Michigan and 61 randomly selected undergrads at Boston University (BU). The Michigan sample had a mean SAT verbal score of 600 with a standard deviation of 200. The BU sample had a mean SAT verbal score of 565 with a standard deviation of 150. a. What kind of test should I use to examine whether the difference between these means is statistically significant? b. Is this a 1-tailed or a 2-tailed test? Why do you think so? c. What would your alternative hypothesis be? Tell me why. d. Report the critical value for this test. Why do you think that is the correct critical value e. So perform the necessary calculations and tell me whether the difference between the means is statistically significant using an alpha level of .05. Be sure to wrap words around your results. Tell me all that you know f. Give me one plausible explanation for your results. Why do you think the results turned out this way. (Note: I am not looking for the technical, mathematical answer here-nothing about probabilities or formulas. I just want you to give me a reasonable explanation for why Michigan students may have higher SAT scores, or not, depending on what your results were.)

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a. Independent samples t test.
b. 1-tailed, because the researcher clearly expects Michigan students to score higher than BU students, on average.
c. Michigan mean > BU mean.
d. If I make Michigan the X1 variable and BU the X2 variable, I would expect a positive t value (because I expect Michigan students to have the higher mean). If the Xs are reversed, I would expect a negative t value. Using an alpha level of .05, 1-tailed, and 120 df (61 + 61 -2 = 120), my critical t value would be 1.658.
e. First I need to calculate standard errors of the mean for each sample.
For Michigan,
SxˉS_{\bar{x}}
= 200/7.81 =25.61. For BU students,
SxˉS_{\bar{x}}
= 150/7.81 = 19.21.
Then I square each
SxˉS_{\bar{x}}
: (25.61)2 = 655.87. (19.21)2 = 369.02. When I add these together I get 1024.89. Take the square root of that and I get 32.01. So my observed t = 600 - 565 / 32.01 \rightarrow 35 / 32.01 = 1.09. So my observed t value of 1.09 is less than the critical t value of 1.658. Therefore, I conclude that, in the population of Michigan students and BU students, the average SAT scores are equal. The difference in sample means is too likely due to chance for me to conclude that it was not.
f. Maybe Michigan undergrads really aren't any better than BU undergrads. Ugh.

Suppose that in the population of American college students the average number of alcoholic drinks consumed per week is 12. What is the probability of randomly selecting a sample (n = 16) with a mean of 10 and a standard deviation of 4? (Hint: Tell me the two probabilities it will be between using a 2-tailed value)

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So I do not know the population standard deviation here, which means I'll have to look in Appendix B using the t values. First, I must calculate a standard error of the mean:
SxˉS_{\bar{x}} = 4/? 16 \rightarrow 4/4 \rightarrow 1.
Next I calculate a t value: t = 10 - 12/1 = -2/1 = -2.00.
My degrees of freedom will be 16 = 1 = 15.
So in Appendix B, looking at 15 degrees of freedom I find a value of 1.753 and a value of 2.131. These are the two closest values to 2.00. Then I look up at the top of the table and find that these correspond with alpha levels of .10 and .05. So the best I can do is say that the probability of getting a sample mean of 10 from this population, when the sample is randomly selected and n = 16, is between 5% and 10%.

Ahh, the holidays-you gotta love 'em. Nothing says holiday quite like eating too much food. Whether it is Thanksgiving, Christmas, or the 4th of July, we love to eat on holidays. I wonder whether people spend more money at the grocery store two weeks before a major holiday or two weeks after. So I select a random sample of 25 people and see how much they spend on a trip to the store two weeks before the holiday and again two weeks after. Before the holiday, the shoppers spent an average of $80. After the holiday, each shopper spent $85, on average. The standard DEVIATION of the DIFFERENCE between the means was 10. a. Write the null and alternative hypotheses. b. Select an alpha level and wrap words around it. c. Is this a statistically significant difference? (do the calculations)

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Boys and girls have a lot in common, but they also seem to have a lot of differences. Some people have argued that, even at a young age, girls are more nurturing and caring than boys. Others think this is just an unfounded stereotype. Suppose that you, as a developmental psychologist, decide to test this out. You select a random sample of 20 boys and 20 girls and measure their level of caring for a sad friend. Boys have a mean of 4.0 and a standard deviation of 1.0 on the nurturing scale. Girls have a mean of 4.5 and a standard deviation of 1.2 on the nurturing scale. Using an alpha level of .05, conduct the analysis to determine which hypothesis is supported.

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Please write a research question that would most appropriately be answered with a dependent samples t test.

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Please write a research question that would be best answered with a 2-tailed, dependent-samples t test.

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I know that men are usually the gender portrayed as all amped up and hyper, but in my experience as a commuter (from Oakland to Santa Clara) I must say that it seems women drive faster than men, on average. To see if I am correct, I solicited the help of the Highway Patrol one day. I sat with an officer and we used a radar gun to measure the speeds of 16 randomly selected male drivers and 16 randomly selected female drivers on the same stretch of Interstate 880. We found that our sample of male drivers had an average speed of 68 mph with a standard deviation of 15. Our sample of female drivers had an average speed of 71 MPH with a standard deviation of 10. b. State the null and alternative hypotheses c. Chose an alpha level. d. What exactly does this alpha level mean? e. Decide whether you are doing a 1-tailed or 2-tailed test (explain why) f. State your degrees of freedom g. Find and report your critical value for t. h. Compute your observed t-value. i. Wrap words around your results. Is this a statistically significant difference? j. Calculate an effect size (d).

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In all of the different t tests, we use the same general formula: observed effects in the sample divided by a standard error. What does such a formula tell us and why does it make sense as a way to test whether a result is statistically significant?

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