Exam 10: Developing Forecasts

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Exponential smoothing is poor for medium- and long-range forecasts.

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The expected level of industry sales given a specific industry strategy in a given geographic area for a specific time period is the definition for

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The forecasting technique that involves a panel of managers each submitting an anonymous forecast for an account which are summarized into a report and then sent to each panel member is the

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In top-down approaches, company personnel provide aggregate company forecasts, which sales managers must break down into zone, region, district, territory, and account forecasts.

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A sales forecast will be affected by the length of the time period and the geographic area involved in the forecast.

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A critical aspect of the exponential smoothing method of forecasting involves determining the appropriate alpha weight for this year's company sales.

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Although useful, the moving averages method of forecasting suffers from being complicated and cumbersome to use.

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The Delphi method of forecasting allows for voicing of unusual opinions and anonymous mind changing.

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Decomposition methods involve different procedures that break down previous company sales data into four major components: trend, cycle, seasonal, and economic events.

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Exponential smoothing is a type of moving averages method of forecasting.

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The Delphi method of forecasting eliminates group decision making pitfalls, such as specious persuasion or a bandwagon effect.

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This forecasting method acknowledges three key factors affecting sales--trend, seasonal , cycles.

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The expected level of company sales, given a specific strategy in a given geographic area for a specific time period, is the definition for

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A strength of regression analysis for forecasting is that it identifies unknown factors affecting market response.

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Market factor methods typically involve identifying one or more factors that are related to sales at the zone, region, district, territory, or account levels and using these factors to break down the overall company forecast into forecasts at these levels.

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A weakness of the decomposition method of forecasting is that it does not lend itself to longer-range forecasts.

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The salesforce composite method of forecasting can take excessive amounts of salespeople's time if done too often.

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A forecast of market potential is the expected level of industry sales, given a specific industry strategy in a given geographic area for a specific tune period.

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If you predict a specific level of district sales for your firm's personal computers, given your firm's expected strategy, you have prepared a sales forecast.

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The best possible level of industry sales in a given geographic area for a specific time period is the definition for

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