Exam 14: Risk Analysis

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If the market interest rate is 10 percent and a decision maker's risk-adjusted discount rate is 12 percent, then the decision maker

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A

The riskier a project is, the smaller its certainty equivalent will be.

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True

Which of the following would suggest a decline in the level of risk in the U.S. financial markets

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D

People who have certain health conditions may be more likely to seek better health insurances with higher coverage driving up the costs while people who are healthy may not want to spend much for health insurance as they believe they will need less healthcare. This is a problem of

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An individual has a certainty equivalent coefficient equal to 0.40. What is the most this individual would pay to play a game that pays $50 or $30 with equal probability?

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The sequence of possible managerial decisions and their expected outcome under each set of circumstances can be represented and analyzed by using

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According to the decision tree, what is the probability that the firm will earn 50,000? According to the decision tree, what is the probability that the firm will earn 50,000?

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A payoff matrix presents all the information required to determine the optimal strategy using the

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An individual must decide whether or not to pursue a business opportunity. If he does pursue the opportunity, then he will get a $20 profit if the business is very successful and a $10 profit if the business is not very successful. Apply the maximin and minimax regret criteria to this decision.

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A firm is considering two business projects. Project A will return a loss of $45 if conditions are poor, a profit of $35 if conditions are good, and a profit of $155 if conditions are excellent. Project B will return a loss of $100 if conditions are poor, a profit of $60 if conditions are good, and a profit of $300 if conditions are excellent. The probability distribution of conditions follows: Conditions: Poor Good Excellent Probabilities: 40 percent 50 percent 10 percent (i)Calculate the expected value of each project and identify the preferred project according to this criterion. (ii)Calculate the standard deviation of each project and identify the project that has the higher level of risk. (iii)Calculate the coefficient of variation for each project and identify the preferred project according to this criterion.

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Consider investing into a project that can result in one of three possible outcomes. The first possible outcome is that the project will generate a return of 20,000. The first outcome has the probability of 50%. The second outcome is 10,000 and the probability is 30%. The third outcome is -50,000 (a negative return) and it carries the remaining probability of 20%. What is the expected return on this investment?

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Consider investing into a project that can result in one of three possible outcomes. The first possible outcome is that the project will generate a return of 5,000. The first outcome has the probability of 40%. The second outcome is 15,000 and the probability is 20%. The third outcome is -5,000 and it carries the remaining probability of 40%. What is the expected return on this investment?

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A construction project requires an initial investment of 2,000,000. The one and only return next year is estimated to be 2,500,00. If the firm uses a discount rate of 10%, what is the net present value of the project? What is the NPV of the project if the firm uses certainty-equivalent approach with certainty-equivalent coefficient of 0.9 and a risk-free rate of 4%?

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A risk-return trade-off function

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Hedging eliminates all risks associated with foreign investments.

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Fred is willing to pay $1 for a lottery ticket that has an expected value of zero. This proves that Fred

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Three managers, John, Mary and Stephen work for a Firm A. John's utility function is U = X² , Mary's is U=XU = \sqrt { X } and Stephen's is U= X . Which one of them is risk averse, risk neutral and risk seeking? Show graphically how their utility functions differ.

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The difference between the required rate of return on a risky investment and the rate of return on risk-free asset is known as

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After buying a used car, you find out that there were many hidden problems. If you knew these issues before, you would not have offered so much for it. This is a typical example of what economists call

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If a person's utility doubles when his or her income doubles, then that person is risk

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