Exam 3: Solving Problems

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________________ is a defense against judgment biases.

(Multiple Choice)
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Consider the fact that 81 percent of surveyed new business owners thought their business had at least a 70 percent chance of success,but only 39 percent thought that most businesses like theirs would succeed.Describe the bias this example illustrates.

(Essay)
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Carl,a corporate recruiter,advises his job applicants to start negotiating salaries from a higher bracket.He suggests this,knowing that the applicant will end up with a higher salary if the hiring employer is susceptible to the judgment error of:

(Multiple Choice)
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Research shows focused groups perform better than diverse groups on creative problem-solving tasks.

(True/False)
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Mental models are ________________________________ that sustain current systems.

(Multiple Choice)
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The "hot hand" in basketball is an example of the confirmation bias.

(True/False)
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Your friend has invited you today evening to his place.Your boss informs you at 4 p.m.that one of your projects is due tomorrow.Consequently,you will have to stay back late and will not be able to go to your friend's place.At 4.30 p.m. ,you see your boss leaving the office.What you do not know is that your boss is going to the airport to pick up a senior director with whom he needs to have dinner later on.Draw a ladder of inference based on this scenario.

(Essay)
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The PADIL approach to problem solving includes five major steps.The first step is identified as:

(Multiple Choice)
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Healthy skepticism leads managers to engage in satisficing.

(True/False)
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Abraham constructed a weighted rank alternatives table to decide where to go to graduate school.His most important criteria were cost,location,and publication opportunities.His four school choices all were ranked highest on the three criteria.Abraham does not know how to choose.He has reached a condition of:

(Multiple Choice)
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Give two examples of the representative bias which arise from people's misconceptions about chance.

(Essay)
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What are some useful tactics for avoiding common decision biases?

(Essay)
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Brainwriting is superior to brainstorming as a process for generating the highest volume of creative ideas.

(True/False)
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Which of the following statements,on the ladder of inference,provides objective data?

(Multiple Choice)
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Managers can often spot bad decision making in others,but they may fail in identifying their own poor decisions.Psychologists refer to this as:

(Multiple Choice)
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