Exam 6: International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates

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Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e.,you buy at the ask and sell at the bid).Use the information below to answer the following question. Bid ASK APR (\ /) \ 1.42=1.00 \1 .45=1.00 i\ 4\% (\ /) \ 1.48=1.00 \1 .50=1.00 i3\% If you had borrowed $1,000,000 and traded for euro at the spot rate,how many € do you receive?

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$1,000,000×1$1.45=689,655.17\$ 1,000,000 \times \frac { € 1 } { \$ 1.45 } = € 689,655.17

Assume that you are a retail customer.Use the information below to answer the following question. Bid Ask Borrowing Lending (\ /) \ 1.42=1.00 \ 1.45=1.00 i\ 4.25\% 4\% (\ /\epsilon) \ 1.48=1.00 \ 1.50=1.00 i 3.10\% 3\% If you had borrowed $1,000,000 and traded for euro at the spot rate,how many € do you receive?

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$1,000,000×1$1.45=689,655.17\$ 1,000,000 \times \frac { € 1 } { \$ 1.45 } = € 689,655.17

The Fisher effect can be written for the United States as: A.i$ = ?$ + E(?$)+ ?$ × E(?$)B.?$ = i$ + E(?$)+ i$ × E(?$)C.q = 1+π$(1+e)(1+π£)\frac { 1 + \pi _ { \$ } } { ( 1 + e ) \left( 1 + \pi _ { £ } \right) } D. F($/)S($/)\frac { F ( \$ / € ) } { S ( \$ / € ) } = 1+i$1+i\frac { 1 + i _ { \$ } } { 1 + i _ { € } }

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When Interest Rate Parity (IRP)does not hold

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Use the information below to answer the following question. Exchange Rate Interest Rate APR (\ /) \ 1.60=1.00 i\ 2\% (\ /) \ 1.58=1.00 i 4\% If you had €1,000,000 and traded it for USD at the spot rate,how many USD will you get?

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The interest rate at which the arbitrager borrows tends to be higher than the rate at which he lends,reflecting the

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Generally unfavorable evidence on PPP suggests that

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Good,inexpensive,and fairly reliable predictors of future exchange rates include

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Use the information below to answer the following question. Exchange Rate Interest Rate APR (\ /) \ 1.45=1.00 i\ 4\% (\ /) \ 1.48=1.00 i 3\% If you had €1,000,000 and traded it for USD at the spot rate,how many USD will you get?

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The benefit to forecasting exchange rates

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As of today,the spot exchange rate is €1.00 = $1.25 and the rates of inflation expected to prevail for the next year in the U.S.is 2 percent and 3 percent in the euro zone.What is the one-year forward rate that should prevail?

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If a foreign county experiences a hyperinflation,

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The main approaches to forecasting exchange rates are

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A formal statement of IRP is

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If the annual inflation rate is 5.5 percent in the United States and 4 percent in the U.K.,and the dollar depreciated against the pound by 3 percent,then the real exchange rate,assuming that PPP initially held,is

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Will an arbitrageur facing the following prices be able to make money?  Bid  Ask  Borrowing  Lending F0($/)$1.401.00$1.431.00i$4.20%APR4.10%APRF36($)$1.441.00$1.491.00i3.65%APR3.50%APR\begin{array}{rcccccc}\hline & \text { Bid } & \text { Ask } & & \text { Borrowing } & \text { Lending } \\F_{0}(\$ / €) & \$ 1.40-€ 1.00 & \$ 1.43-€ 1.00 & & i \$ 4.20 \% \mathrm{APR} & 4.10 \% \mathrm{APR} \\F_{36}(\$) & \$ 1.44-€ 1.00 & \$ 1.49-€ 1.00 & & i € 3.65 \% \mathrm{APR} & 3.50 \% \mathrm{APR}\end{array}

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Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e.,you buy at the ask and sell at the bid).Use the information below to answer the following question. Bid ASK APR (\ /) \ 1.42=1.00 \1 .45=1.00 i\ 4\% (\ /) \ 1.48=1.00 \1 .50=1.00 i3\% If you had €1,000,000 and traded it for USD at the spot rate,how many USD will you get?

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Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA)activities will result in

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According to the monetary approach,the exchange rate can be expressed as

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Studies of the accuracy of paid exchange rate forecasters

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