Exam 11: Decisions, Judgments, and Reasoning

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In conditional reasoning,the confirmation bias is a search error.

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Consider this problem.What does it represent? Premise 1: If it is a weekend,Mark is sailing. Premise 2: Mark is sailing. Conclusion: It is a weekend.

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In reasoning,the tendency to search for evidence that confirms a conclusion is __________.

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Consider the following problem and then choose which of the statements below is NOT true. If each of 10 people at a meeting shakes hands (once)with every other person,how many handshakes are exchanged?

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An algorithm is __________.

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The strongest logical test of a scientific theory is to see if the hypothesized effects are produced in accordance with the theoretical predictions.

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What is the SNARC effect?

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Why might we care about naïve physics?

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Kahneman & Tversky (1973)report having people read various personality descriptions and then estimate the likelihood or probability that a person was a member of one or another profession.They report __________.

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For the purposes of this course,why do we care about mental models? As a product designer,how might discovering knowledge about users' mental models help me?

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If a conclusion matches the first mental model derived from the problem,it is particularly easy (and thus likely)to accept the (potentially false)conclusion,leading to fallacies or errors in reasoning.

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Making judgments about which is smaller-a "1" or a "2" versus a "1" or a "4"-will illustrate __________.

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Judging events as more frequent or important just because they are more familiar in memory illustrates __________.

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Johnson-Laird argued that __________.

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Johnston-Laird reports that people's performance on the Wason card task can be greatly improved by __________.

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Consider this pair of judgments about which is smaller: "Which is smaller,a sheep or a bear?" and "Which is smaller,a mouse or a rat?" The faster response to the second question illustrates __________.

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In the __________,knowledge from a variety of sources is factored into a decision (e.g.,Chicago judged north of Rome based on "Northern North America" vs."Southern Europe").

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Consider which card or cards you would turn over to obtain conclusive evidence about the following rule: A CARD WITH A VOWEL ON IT WILL HAVE AN EVEN NUMBER ON THE OTHER SIDE.Note: Each card has a number on one side and a letter on the other.Circle the relevant letters/numbers.

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The search for positive evidence only is labeled the __________.

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There are two hospitals; one averages 45 births per day,the other 15 births per day.You are asked,"In any given year,which hospital will have a higher percentage of days during which more than 60 percent of the babies born will be male?" The correct answer is __________.

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