Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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The Samuelson-Solow version of the Phillips curve showed the relationship between unemployment rates and

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The original (1958)Phillips curve differed from the Samuelson-Solow Phillips curve in that

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Exhibit 16-3 Exhibit 16-3   -Refer to Exhibit 16-3.The economy is at point C.If a decrease in aggregate demand is correctly anticipated in the short run,new classical theory would predict -Refer to Exhibit 16-3.The economy is at point C.If a decrease in aggregate demand is correctly anticipated in the short run,new classical theory would predict

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The policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP)argument states that under certain circumstances,neither expansionary demand-side fiscal policy nor expansionary monetary policy is effective at achieving macroeconomic goals.

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Real business cycle theory would emphasize the ability of a beneficial supply shock to shift the __________ curve rightward and __________ Real GDP.

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If expectations are formed rationally,wages and prices are completely flexible in the short run and policy is correctly anticipated,increases in aggregate demand will

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Suppose that in a new classical model the public anticipates that policymakers will increase aggregate demand.However,aggregate demand increases by less than what the public anticipated.The result in the short run is that Real GDP ____________ and the price level ____________.

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1   -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.According to new classical macroeconomists,if decreases in aggregate demand are unanticipated,then the economy will move from point C to -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.According to new classical macroeconomists,if decreases in aggregate demand are unanticipated,then the economy will move from point C to

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Stagflation consists of

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According to a new Keynesian theorist,a correctly anticipated increase in aggregate demand will

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According to the real business cycle theory,business cycle contractions are generally caused by

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Events of the 1970s and early 1980s showed that

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The original (1958)Phillips curve stated that

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2   -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts out at point A.Next,the public anticipates that the Fed will use expansionary monetary policy to shift the AD curve from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>2</sub>.What happens,instead,is that the Fed does not raise aggregate demand as much as the public expects (bias upward).Instead the Fed pushes the AD curve from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>3</sub>.As a result,according to new classical theory in the short run the economy moves to point -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts out at point A.Next,the public anticipates that the Fed will use expansionary monetary policy to shift the AD curve from AD1 to AD2.What happens,instead,is that the Fed does not raise aggregate demand as much as the public expects (bias upward).Instead the Fed pushes the AD curve from AD1 to AD3.As a result,according to new classical theory in the short run the economy moves to point

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Although the possibility exists for an economy to experience stagflation,it has never actually happened in the United States.

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Milton Friedman argued that as long as

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The economy was in long-run equilibrium when aggregate demand increased.At this point in time,the expected inflation has started to adjust to the new higher actual inflation rate.According to the (Friedman)natural rate theory,this means the unemployment rate in the economy must currently be

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Suppose that the Fed expects to increase the money supply by $49 billion,but economic agents expect that the increase will be closer to $75 billion.Using rational expectations theory,the result will be ______________ Real GDP and a ________________ price level.

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The short-run Phillips curve holds that

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1   -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.According to new classical macroeconomists,if increases in aggregate demand are correctly anticipated,then the economy will move from point A to -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.According to new classical macroeconomists,if increases in aggregate demand are correctly anticipated,then the economy will move from point A to

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