Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Exhibit 16-4 Exhibit 16-4   -Refer to Exhibit 16-4.The economy is initially at point A,in long run equilibrium.A real business cycle would be represented by the following sequence of curve shifts: -Refer to Exhibit 16-4.The economy is initially at point A,in long run equilibrium.A real business cycle would be represented by the following sequence of curve shifts:

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Starting from long-run equilibrium,if the public anticipates that policymakers will increase aggregate demand by less than policymakers do increase aggregate demand,and if the short-run aggregate supply curve fully adjusts to the (incorrectly)anticipated increase in aggregate demand,then Real GDP will __________ and the price level will __________.

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A rise in the expected price level leads to an expectation that real wages will ____________,which will cause people to work __________,shifting the SRAS curve _______________.

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According to real business cycle theorists,changes in Real GDP are the result of initial changes in

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2   -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts at point A.Fed monetary policy shifts the AD curve to AD<sub>2</sub>.A rise in Real GDP is likely if the economy operates under __________ assumptions,such as wage and price __________. -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts at point A.Fed monetary policy shifts the AD curve to AD2.A rise in Real GDP is likely if the economy operates under __________ assumptions,such as wage and price __________.

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The Samuelson-Solow version of the Phillips curve states that

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A person's real wage will fall if the

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2   -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts at point A.The AD curve shifts from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>2</sub> and the public perfectly anticipates this.Under new Keynesian macroeconomic assumptions,the most likely short-run equilibrium point will be -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts at point A.The AD curve shifts from AD1 to AD2 and the public perfectly anticipates this.Under new Keynesian macroeconomic assumptions,the most likely short-run equilibrium point will be

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Stagflation implies that

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The concept of rational expectations first appeared on the economic scene in _______,but it wasn't until the _____________ that it received more significant notice in the economics profession.

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Milton Friedman argued that there

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The real business cycle theory holds that the business cycle

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The original Phillips curve depicted the relationship between

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1   -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.Milton Friedman would most likely have called the vertical line on which points A and C are located the -Refer to Exhibit 16-1.Milton Friedman would most likely have called the vertical line on which points A and C are located the

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According to new classical economists,if a decrease in aggregate demand is correctly anticipated,the short-run aggregate supply curve will shift __________ at the same time the AD curve shifts _________ so that there will be no change in Real GDP.

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New classical economists believe that if policy is correctly anticipated and if rational expectations hold,when the Fed increases the money supply the result will be a(n)______________ in the price level and ____________________________.

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The simultaneous occurrence of high inflation and high unemployment is called

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If the public has rational expectations,

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The economy is initially in long-run equilibrium.Expectations are adaptive,prices and wages are flexible,and there is an unanticipated increase in aggregate demand.In the short run,the price level will be __________ than it was in long-run equilibrium and Real GDP will be __________ than it was in long-run equilibrium.

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New classical economists believe that it is possible under certain circumstances for an increase in the money supply to lead to a decrease in Real GDP in the short run.

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