Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Real business cycle theory emphasizes that an adverse supply shock will shift the LRAS curve leftward and cause a decline in Real GDP.

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The real business cycle theory focuses on the impact that changes in long-run aggregate supply will have on the business cycle.

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The economy is in long-run equilibrium when there is an incorrectly anticipated increase in aggregate demand brought about by expansionary monetary policy.Specifically,aggregate demand increases by less than people anticipate (bias upward).According to new classical theory,the price level will __________ and Real GDP will __________ in the short run.In the long run,the price level will be __________ than it was before aggregate demand increased.

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Describe the sequence of events that real business cycle theorists would use to explain how an adverse supply shock would impact the economy.Use your answer to explain why it is easy to confuse cause and effect between changes originating on the supply side and those that begin on the demand side.

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Samuelson and Solow,in their 1960 study of the Phillips curve as it applies to the U.S.experience,argued that there was a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment.Later experience showed their analysis to be

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The original (1958)Phillips curve

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Exhibit 16-6 Exhibit 16-6   -Refer to Exhibit 16-6.The economy is initially at point B.There is an unanticipated increase in aggregate demand,prices and wages are flexible,the economy is self-regulating,and people hold adaptive expectations.In the short run the economy will move to point __________ and in the long run the economy will be at point __________. -Refer to Exhibit 16-6.The economy is initially at point B.There is an unanticipated increase in aggregate demand,prices and wages are flexible,the economy is self-regulating,and people hold adaptive expectations.In the short run the economy will move to point __________ and in the long run the economy will be at point __________.

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The Friedman natural rate theory holds that there is an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment in the long run,but not in the short run.

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Describe the policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP).Be sure to state which economic theory the PIP is associated with and the assumptions that are necessary for this argument to hold.

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If expectations are formed rationally,wages and prices are not completely flexible in the short run,and policy is correctly anticipated,increases in aggregate demand will stimulate the economy to higher levels of Real GDP and lower levels of unemployment in

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According to Milton Friedman,there are two Phillips curves,a short-run one and a long-run one.

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The economy is in long-run equilibrium when there is a correctly anticipated increase in aggregate demand.According to new classical theory,the price level will __________ and Real GDP will __________.

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New classical economists believe that there is

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According to rational expectations theory,

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According to real business cycle theorists,if the long-run aggregate supply (LRAS)curve shifts to the left,Real GDP __________,the price level __________,the demand for labor __________,money wages __________,real wages __________,and workers choose to work __________.

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In their 1960 article,Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow found

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In the 1970s and early 1980s,the U.S.economy experienced

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Rational expectations theory is also known as the Friedman fooling theory.

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Which of the following assumptions is held by both the classical view and the new classical view?

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New classical economists build their theories upon

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