Exam 12: Decision Analysis

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A group of friends are planning a recreational outing and have constructed the following payoff table to help them decide which activity to engage in. Assume that the payoffs represent their level of enjoyment for each activity under the various weather conditions. Weather Cold Warm Rainy Bike: Al 10 8 6 Hike: A2 14 15 2 Fish: A3 7 8 9 -If the probabilities of cold weather (S1), warm weather (S2), and rainy weather (S3) are 0.2, 0.4, and 0.4, respectively, then what is the EVPI for this situation?

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Determining the worst payoff for each alternative and choosing the alternative with the best worst is called

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