Exam 18: Decision Theory and the Normal Distribution

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If fixed costs were to double unexpectedly, the break-even point would be

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A food truck sells an average of 1240 black bean lattes with a standard deviation of 80.What level of customer demand represents the 15th percentile for black bean lattes?

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In a normal distribution, there is a greater chance of seeing an observation one standard deviation above the mean than one standard deviation below the mean.

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Tony B.is attempting to start a landscaping business.He estimates that to break even, he will need about 140 customers.He believes he will lose approximately $500 per customer for each customer fewer than the 140.At the moment, he believes that there is an 80% probability that he will be able to secure at least 130 customers and that there is a 50/50 chance that demand will be greater than 150 customers.He has several marketing research firms offering (for a price, of course)to conduct a survey that will provide additional information regarding the probability of demand.How much should he be willing to spend if he decides to have a survey made?

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If D = 1.01, s = 900, K = 10, and the selling price is $11, the EOL is

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The binomial distribution can be used when there are a small number of states of nature and/or alternatives.

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If the fixed costs are $15,000 and the variable cost/unit is $35 and the selling price is $375 units, what is the break-even?

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Determine N(D)for the following D values: 0.01, 0.21, 0.77, and 1.20.

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In accordance with their government contract, the break-even point was determined to be 5,000 units/month.Next month begins an increased lease payment for the production facility such that the fixed cost rises to $13,000.If the selling price is $38.75, what is the variable cost?

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Which of these statements is best?

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When using the normal distribution to approximate demand, which of the following is not true?

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break-even analysis answers what common management question?

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In determining the EOL with the normal distribution, as D increases, the unit normal loss integral, N(D), also increases.

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The Truck Toys Company manufactures traditional wooden toy trucks.It has determined its variable cost/unit to be $1.50/truck.Fixed costs, however, are quite high because old equipment is used in the manufacturing process and costly packaging is needed to market the toy trucks.The fixed costs are estimated at $11,000/month.The company sells their toy trucks at a price of $7.75/each.How many toy trucks must be sold annually to break even?

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Given the following opportunity loss function, determine the loss when 600 units are sold. Opportunity loss = 2 (600 - X)for X ≤ 600, otherwise 0.

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If the price/unit were doubled at the same time that the variable cost/unit doubled, the break-even point would be

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If a variable other than demand is random (price, fixed or variable cost, etc.)the problem of break-even analysis becomes much more complex.

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The opportunity loss function gives us information about

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If the break-even point was estimated to be 500 units when fixed costs are estimated at $1,200/month, what would the EMV be if average demand is estimated at 750?

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To determine the EOL with the normal distribution

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