Exam 2: Probability Concepts and Applications

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In a production run of 300 units, there are exactly 20 defective items and 280 good items. (a) What is the probability that a randomly selected item is defective? (b) If two items are sampled without replacement, what is the probability that both are good? (c) If two items are randomly sampled without replacement, what is the probability that the first is good but the second is defective?

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(a) 20/300 = 0.067 (b) (280/300)(279/299) = 0.871 (c) (280/300)(20/299) = 0.062

At a university with 1,000 business majors, there are 200 business students enrolled in an introductory statistics course. Of these 200 students, 50 are also enrolled in an introductory accounting course. There are an additional 250 business students enrolled in accounting but not enrolled in statistics. If a business student is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is either enrolled in accounting or statistics, but not both?

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C

The joint probability of two or more independent events occurring is the sum of their marginal or simple probabilities.

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Suppose that 10 golfers enter a tournament and that their respective skill levels are approximately the same. Six of the entrants are female and two of those are older than 40 years old. Three of the men are older than 40 years old. What is the probability that the winner will be a female who is older than 40 years old?

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The time required to complete a project is normally distributed with a mean of 80 weeks and a standard deviation of 10 weeks. The construction company must pay a penalty if the project is not finished by the due date in the contract. If a construction company bidding on this contract puts in a due date of 80 weeks, what is the probability that they will have to pay a penalty?

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Which of the following statements concerning the F distribution is true?

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Subjective probability assessments depend on

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At a university with 1,000 business majors, there are 200 business students enrolled in an introductory statistics course. Of these 200, 50 are also enrolled in an introductory accounting course. There are an additional 250 business students enrolled in accounting but not enrolled in statistics. If a business student is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is not enrolled in statistics?

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A consulting firm has received 2 Super Bowl playoff tickets from one of its clients. To be fair, the firm is randomly selecting two different employee names to "win" the tickets. There are 6 secretaries, 5 consultants, and 4 partners in the firm. Which of the following statements is true?

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If two events are mutually exclusive, then

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The number of phone calls coming into a switchboard in the next five minutes will either be 0, 1, or 2. The probabilities are the same for each of these (1/3). If X is the number of calls arriving in a five-minute time period, what is the mean of X?

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At a university with 1,000 business majors, there are 200 business students enrolled in an introductory statistics course. Of these 200 students, 50 are also enrolled in an introductory accounting course. There are an additional 250 business students enrolled in accounting but not enrolled in statistics. If a business student is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is enrolled in statistics?

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Suppose that 10 golfers enter a tournament and that their respective skill levels are approximately the same. What is the probability that one of the first three golfers that registered for the tournament will win?

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At a university with 1,000 business majors, there are 200 business students enrolled in an introductory statistics course. Of these 200 students, 50 are also enrolled in an introductory accounting course. There are an additional 250 business students enrolled in accounting but not enrolled in statistics. If a business student is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is enrolled in accounting?

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At a university with 1,000 business majors, there are 200 business students enrolled in an introductory statistics course. Of these 200, 50 are also enrolled in an introductory accounting course. There are an additional 250 business students enrolled in accounting but not enrolled in statistics. If a business student is selected at random, what is the probability that the student is enrolled in neither accounting nor statistics?

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Suppose that when the temperature is between 35 and 50 degrees, it has historically rained 40% of the time. Also, historically, the month of April has had a temperature between 35 and 50 degrees on 25 days. You have scheduled a golf tournament for April 12. What is the probability that players will experience rain and a temperature between 35 and 50 degrees?

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Given three statistically independent events (A,B,C), the joint probability of P(ABC) = P(A) × P(B) × P(C).

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The time required to travel downtown at 10 a.m. on Monday morning is known to be normally distributed with a mean of 40 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. What is the probability that it will take less than 40 minutes?

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A dry cleaning business offers a pick-up and delivery service for a 10 percent surcharge. Management believes 60 percent of the existing customers will take advantage of this service. They are also considering offering customers the option of opening an account and receiving monthly bills. They believe 60 percent of customers (regardless of whether or not they use the pick-up service) will use the account service. If the two services are introduced to the market, what is the probability a customer uses neither of these services?

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Explain what a discrete random variable is.

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