Exam 14: Forecasting Demand for Services

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Historical analogy involves comparative analysis of the introduction and growth patterns of new items with similar previously-introduced items.

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The Delphi method is best used when forecasting:

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Subjective models are used to assess the future impact of changing demographics.

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____ is the smoothing constant for the trend adjustment in an exponential smoothing forecast.

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Regression models require all but one of the following:

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Characteristics of forecasting models include all but one of the following:

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Both trend and seasonal adjustments can augment a single exponential-smoothing model.

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Most forecasting models assume that the underlying pattern of behavior of their data will remain the same. The only component of error is attributable to random fluctuations that are not under the control of anyone.

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The main advantage that simple moving-average models have over exponentially-smoothed models is that they can be made to give any desired weight to specific periods in the past.

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One reason exponential smoothing is so popular is the ease with which it can be made to accommodate trend and seasonality in its forecasts.

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Survey results are used in:

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The selection of candidate independent variables for a regression model to forecast motel occupancy requires input from knowledgeable marketing personnel. Multiple Choice

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Fast-food restaurants use a causal model to forecast daily demand for menu items.

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Which oneof the following is an example of a causal model?

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The forecast horizon for regression methods is _________.

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The forecast horizon for a cross-impact analysis method is medium-term.

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Which one of the following is not an advantage of the Simple Exponential Smoothing model over the N-period Moving Average model?

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_____________ is used best to forecast demand.

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The usual range of the smoothing constant for a simple exponential smoothing forecast is:

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In forecasting, the term "cycle" refers to repetition of data:

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