Exam 18: A Roadmap for Analyzing Data

SCENARIO 18-2 One of the most common questions of prospective house buyers pertains to the cost of heating in dollars (Y). To provide its customers with information on that matter, a large real estate firm used the following 4 variables to predict heating costs: the daily minimum outside temperature in degrees of Fahrenheit ( X₁ ), the amount of insulation in inches ( X ₂ ), the number of windows in the house ( X₃ ), and the age of the furnace in years ( X ₄ ). Given below are the EXCEL outputs of two regression models. -Referring to Scenario 18-1,which of the following values for the level of significance is the smallest for which at least two explanatory variables are significant individually?

SCENARIO 18-3 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $1,000)and 4 variables: age (X₁ = Age),experience in the field (X₂ = Exper),number of degrees (X₃ = Degrees),and number of previous jobs in the field (X₄ = Prevjobs).He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: -Referring to Scenario 18-3,the value of the F-statistic for testing the significance of the entire regression is .

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-12,what is the p-value of the test statistic when testing whether Attitude makes a significant contribution to the model in the presence of the other independent variables?

The logistic regression equation predicts:

SCENARIO 18-9 What are the factors that determine the acceleration time (in sec. )from 0 to 60 miles per hour of a car? Data on the following variables for 171 different vehicle models were collected: Accel Time: Acceleration time in sec. Cargo Vol: Cargo volume in cu.ft. HP: Horsepower MPG: Miles per gallon SUV: 1 if the vehicle model is an SUV with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 Sedan: 1 if the vehicle model is a sedan with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 The regression results using acceleration time as the dependent variable and the remaining variables as the independent variables are presented below. The various residual plots are as shown below. The coefficient of partial determination ( R² _{yj.(All variables except j )} )of each of the 5 predictors are, respectively,0.0380,0.4376,0.0248,0.0188,and 0.0312. The coefficient of multiple determination for the regression model using each of the 5 variables X _j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables ( R² _j )are,respectively, 0.7461,0.5676,0.6764,0.8582,0.6632. -Referring to Scenario 18-9,the 0 to 60 miles per hour acceleration time of a sedan is predicted to be 0.1252 seconds higher than that of an SUV.

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-10 Model 1,what are the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence interval estimate for the effect of a one year increase in education received on the mean number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff after taking into consideration the effect of all the other independent variables?

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-10 Model 1,the null hypothesis should be rejected at a 10% level of significance when testing whether being married or not makes a difference in the mean number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff while holding constant the effect of all the other independent variables.

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-12,what is the estimated probability that a 48-year-old home owner with a family income of $100,000,a lawn size of 5,000 square feet,a positive attitude toward outdoor recreation,and two teenagers in the household will purchase a lawn service?

A quality control manager at a plant that produces o-rings is concerned about whether the diameter of the o-rings that are produced is conformable to the specification.She has calculated that the average diameter of the o-rings is 4.2 centimeters.She also knows that approximately 95% of the o-rings have diameters fall between 3.2 and 5.2 centimeters and almost all of the o- rings have diameters between 2.7 and 5.7 centimeters.When modeling the diameters of the o- rings,which distribution should the scientists use?

SCENARIO 18-3 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $1,000)and 4 variables: age (X₁ = Age),experience in the field (X₂ = Exper),number of degrees (X₃ = Degrees),and number of previous jobs in the field (X₄ = Prevjobs).He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: -Referring to Scenario 18-3,the net regression coefficient of X₂ is .

SCENARIO 18-8 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth- grade proficiency test.She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing),daily mean of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance),mean teacher salary in dollars (Salaries),and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending)of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, X₁ =% Attendance, X ₂ = Salaries and X₃ = Spending: -Referring to Scenario 18-8,what is the p-value of the test statistic when testing whether instructional spending per pupil has any effect on percentage of students passing the proficiency test,considering the effect of all the other independent variables?

SCENARIO 18-9 What are the factors that determine the acceleration time (in sec. )from 0 to 60 miles per hour of a car? Data on the following variables for 171 different vehicle models were collected: Accel Time: Acceleration time in sec. Cargo Vol: Cargo volume in cu.ft. HP: Horsepower MPG: Miles per gallon SUV: 1 if the vehicle model is an SUV with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 Sedan: 1 if the vehicle model is a sedan with Coupe as the base when SUV and Sedan are both 0 The regression results using acceleration time as the dependent variable and the remaining variables as the independent variables are presented below. The various residual plots are as shown below. The coefficient of partial determination ( R² _{yj.(All variables except j )} )of each of the 5 predictors are, respectively,0.0380,0.4376,0.0248,0.0188,and 0.0312. The coefficient of multiple determination for the regression model using each of the 5 variables X _j as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables ( R² _j )are,respectively, 0.7461,0.5676,0.6764,0.8582,0.6632. -Referring to Scenario 18-9,what is the p-value of the test statistic to determine whether MPG makes a significant contribution to the regression model in the presence of the other independent variables at a 5% level of significance?

At a meeting of information systems officers for regional offices of a national company,a survey was taken to determine the number of employees the officers supervise in the operation of their departments,where X is the number of employees overseen by each information systems officer.A stem-and-leaf display can be used to present this information.

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-12,what should be the decision ('reject' or 'do not reject')on the null hypothesis when testing whether Income makes a significant contribution to the model in the presence of the other independent variables at a 0.05 level of significance?

SCENARIO 18-2 One of the most common questions of prospective house buyers pertains to the cost of heating in dollars (Y). To provide its customers with information on that matter, a large real estate firm used the following 4 variables to predict heating costs: the daily minimum outside temperature in degrees of Fahrenheit ( X₁ ), the amount of insulation in inches ( X ₂ ), the number of windows in the house ( X₃ ), and the age of the furnace in years ( X ₄ ). Given below are the EXCEL outputs of two regression models. -Referring to Scenario 18-1,one individual in the sample had an annual income of $40,000,a family size of 1,and an education of 8 years.This individual owned a home with an area of 1,000 square feet (House = 10.00).What is the residual (in hundreds of square feet)for this data point?

SCENARIO 18-6 A weight-loss clinic wants to use regression analysis to build a model for weight-loss of a client (measured in pounds).Two variables thought to affect weight-loss are client's length of time on the weight loss program and time of session.These variables are described below: Partial output from Microsoft Excel follows: -Referring to Scenario 18-6,the overall model for predicting weight-loss (Y)is statistically significant at the 0.05 level.

SCENARIO 18-5 You worked as an intern at We Always Win Car Insurance Company last summer.You notice that individual car insurance premiums depend very much on the age of the individual,the number of traffic tickets received by the individual,and the population density of the city in which the individual lives.You performed a regression analysis in EXCEL and obtained the following information: -Referring to Scenario 18-5,the residual mean squares (MSE)that are missing in the ANOVA table should be .

SCENARIO 18-12 The marketing manager for a nationally franchised lawn service company would like to study the characteristics that differentiate home owners who do and do not have a lawn service. A random sample of 30 home owners located in a suburban area near a large city was selected; 15 did not have a lawn service (code 0) and 15 had a lawn service (code 1). Additional information available concerning these 30 home owners includes family income (Income, in thousands of dollars), lawn size (Lawn Size, in thousands of square feet), attitude toward outdoor recreational activities (Attitude 0 = unfavorable, 1 = favorable), number of teenagers in the household (Teenager), and age of the head of the household (Age). The Minitab output is given below: -Referring to Scenario 18-10 Model 1,the null hypothesis H₀ : $\beta$ ₁ = $\beta$ ₂ = $\beta$ ₃ = $\beta$ ₄ = $\beta$ ₅ = $\beta$ ₆ = 0 implies that the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff is not affected by some of the explanatory variables.

SCENARIO 18-8 The superintendent of a school district wanted to predict the percentage of students passing a sixth- grade proficiency test.She obtained the data on percentage of students passing the proficiency test (% Passing),daily mean of the percentage of students attending class (% Attendance),mean teacher salary in dollars (Salaries),and instructional spending per pupil in dollars (Spending)of 47 schools in the state. Following is the multiple regression output with Y = % Passing as the dependent variable, X₁ =% Attendance, X ₂ = Salaries and X₃ = Spending: -Referring to Scenario 18-8,what are the lower and upper limits of the 95% confidence interval estimate for the effect of a one dollar increase in instructional spending per pupil on the mean percentage of students passing the proficiency test?

SCENARIO 18-3 A financial analyst wanted to examine the relationship between salary (in $1,000)and 4 variables: age (X₁ = Age),experience in the field (X₂ = Exper),number of degrees (X₃ = Degrees),and number of previous jobs in the field (X₄ = Prevjobs).He took a sample of 20 employees and obtained the following Microsoft Excel output: -Referring to Scenario 18-3,the critical value of an F test on the entire regression for a level of significance of 0.01 is .