Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information

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For most families, total utility does not:

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Jaleh has just landed a great job and plans to buy a fancy car worth $100,000.Jaleh is risk-averse, but she likes to drive fast, so the probability that she wrecks and totals the car (a total loss of $100,000) is 0.1.The probability that she has no accidents is 0.9.If an insurance company were to offer Jaleh a fair insurance policy that completely replaced her car, how much would she pay? What is the most she would pay for an insurance policy that would completely replace her car if she totaled it?

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(Table: Total Utility of Income After College Expenses) Look at the table Total Utility of Income After College Expenses.The Smith family's expected total utility is utils.

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Scenario: Diversification Morris is considering investing $10,000 in a sunglass company or a rain poncho company.If it is a rainy year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he expects to lose $5,000 at the end of the year.However, if it is a rainy year and he invests only in the rain poncho company, he expects to earn $10,000.If it is a sunny year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he expects to earn $10,000 at the end of the year; if he invests only in the rain poncho company, he expects to lose $5,000 in a sunny year.There is a 50% chance of a sunny year and a 50% chance of a rainy year. (Scenario: Diversification) Based on the information in the scenario Diversification, if Morris invests all of his money in the rain poncho company, what is his expected gain or loss?

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A random variable has an uncertain present value.True

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An efficient allocation of risk occurs when those most willing to bear risk put their capital at risk to insure those who are least willing to bear risk.False

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(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 50%, that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%.Given this information, Norman's expected total utility is utils.

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The problem of adverse selection:

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You own a shoe store and need to hire a new sales associate.You have a large stack of applications, but unfortunately you have no idea who is a strong salesperson and who is a weak one.What kind of problem are you facing and how can you solve it?

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Which of the following regarding a warranty is not true?

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    (Table: Utility for Terri and Mary) Terri and Mary are two consumers, each having an income of $300.The table Utility for Terri and Mary shows the marginal utility that each consumer would receive at various levels above and below their income.Based upon this table, is More risk-averse because ________ has a drop in total utility if income were to fall By $100.     (Table: Utility for Terri and Mary) Terri and Mary are two consumers, each having an income of $300.The table Utility for Terri and Mary shows the marginal utility that each consumer would receive at various levels above and below their income.Based upon this table, is More risk-averse because ________ has a drop in total utility if income were to fall By $100. (Table: Utility for Terri and Mary) Terri and Mary are two consumers, each having an income of $300.The table Utility for Terri and Mary shows the marginal utility that each consumer would receive at various levels above and below their income.Based upon this table, is More risk-averse because ________ has a drop in total utility if income were to fall By $100.

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The Conduire family owns three cars and is considering buying insurance to cover the cost of repairs.They face two possible states: state 1, in which their cars need no repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is equal to $50,000; and state 2, in which their cars need $10,000 worth of repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is reduced to $40,000.The probability of occurrence is 0.5 for each state.They can buy insurance that will cover the full cost of repairs for $5,000.If the Conduires are risk-averse and maximize their expected utility:

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Individuals differ in risk aversion for which of the following reasons?

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(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty.Suppose the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 60%, that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 10%.As a utility maximizer, Norman:

(Multiple Choice)
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Moral hazard:

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Organized gambling venues such as those at Las Vegas tend to attract:

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Scenario: Flood Area Suppose you own a home that is estimated to be worth $250,000.You live in a potential flood area; as a result, the probability that you will lose your home to a flood is 30%. (Scenario: Flood Area) Look at the scenario Flood Area.A flood may occur, causing you to Lose your entire home.In this case, your expected loss resulting from the flood would be:

(Multiple Choice)
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The marginal utility of income for a risk-averse individual will be:

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Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion     (Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Differences in Risk Aversion.An important reason Ernest and Salvatore may differ in their aversion to risk is that they may differ in: Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion     (Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Differences in Risk Aversion.An important reason Ernest and Salvatore may differ in their aversion to risk is that they may differ in: (Figure: Differences in Risk Aversion) Look at the figure Differences in Risk Aversion.An important reason Ernest and Salvatore may differ in their aversion to risk is that they may differ in:

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Which of the following is one of the principles on which the insurance industry rests?

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