Exam 4: Basic Probability

TABLE 4-4 Suppose that patrons of a restaurant were asked whether they preferred water or whether they preferred soda. 70% said that they preferred water. 60% of the patrons were male. 80% of the males preferred water. -Referring to Table 4-4, suppose a randomly selected patron prefers soda. Then the probability the patron is a male is ________.

The collection of all the possible events is called a sample space.

An investment consultant is recommending a certain class of mutual funds to the clienteles based on its exceptionally high probability of gain. It is an unethical practice not to also recommend a class of mutual funds with an exceptionally high probability of loss.

TABLE 4-1 Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose main focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers. A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving. Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed. Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident. The numbers are shown below: Number of Vehicles Involved Did alcohol play a role? Totals Yes 50 100 20 170 No 25 175 30 230 Totals 75 275 50 400 -Referring to Table 4-1, given that 3 vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

TABLE 4-7 The next state lottery will have the following payoffs possible with their associated probabilities. Payoff Probability \ 2.00 0.0500 \ 25.00 0.0100 \ 100.00 0.0050 \ 500.00 0.0010 \ 5,000.00 0.0005 \ 10,000.00 0.0001 You buy a single ticket. -Referring to Table 4-7, if you have a winning ticket, the probability that you win at least $100.00 is ________.

According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%. Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars. The probability that the residents of a household own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is

TABLE 4-4 Suppose that patrons of a restaurant were asked whether they preferred water or whether they preferred soda. 70% said that they preferred water. 60% of the patrons were male. 80% of the males preferred water. -Referring to Table 4-4, the probability a randomly selected patron is a female is ________.

TABLE 4-8 According to the record of the registrar's office at a state university, 35% of the students are freshman, 25% are sophomore, 16% are junior and the rest are senior. Among the freshmen, sophomores, juniors and seniors, the portion of students who live in the dormitory are, respectively, 80%, 60%, 30% and 20%. -Referring to Table 4-8, what is the probability that a randomly selected student is a junior who does not live in a dormitory?

TABLE 4-3 A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken. Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults. 120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken. 55 of the children preferred hamburger. -Referring to Table 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is a child and prefers chicken is ________.

TABLE 4-3 A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken. Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults. 120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken. 55 of the children preferred hamburger. -Referring to Table 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult is ________.

TABLE 4-6 At a Texas college, 60% of the students are from the southern part of the state, 30% are from the northern part of the state, and the remaining 10% are from out-of-state. All students must take and pass an Entry Level Math (ELM) test. 60% of the southerners have passed the ELM, 70% of the northerners have passed the ELM, and 90% of the out-of-staters have passed the ELM. -Referring to Table 4-6, the probability that a randomly selected student has passed the ELM is ________.

TABLE 4-10 Are whites more likely to claim bias? It was found that 60% of the workers were white, 30% were black and 10% are other races. Given that a worker was white, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 30%. Given that a worker was black, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 40%. Given that a worker was other race, the probability that the worker had claimed bias was 0%. -Referring to Table 4-10, what is the probability that a randomly selected worker is not black and had not claimed bias?

TABLE 4-2 An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm. The following result was obtained. Did Well on Midterm Did Poorly on Midterm Studying for Exam 80 20 Went Bar Hopping 30 70 -Referring to Table 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Studying for Exam" are

There are 10 finalists at a national dog show. How many different orders of finishing can there be for all the 10 finalists?

TABLE 4-6 At a Texas college, 60% of the students are from the southern part of the state, 30% are from the northern part of the state, and the remaining 10% are from out-of-state. All students must take and pass an Entry Level Math (ELM) test. 60% of the southerners have passed the ELM, 70% of the northerners have passed the ELM, and 90% of the out-of-staters have passed the ELM. -Referring to Table 4-6, the probability that a randomly selected student is someone from northern Texas who has not passed the ELM is ________.

TABLE 4-5 In a meat packaging plant, Machine A accounts for 60% of the plant's output, while Machine B accounts for 40% of the plant's output. In total, 4% of the packages are improperly sealed. Also, 3% of the packages are from Machine A and are improperly sealed. -Referring to Table 4-5, if a package selected at random came from Machine A, the probability that it is improperly sealed is ________.

TABLE 4-9 A survey conducted by the Segal Company of New York found that in a sample of 189 large companies, 40 offered stock options to their board members as part of their non-cash compensation packages. For small- to mid-sized companies, 43 of the 180 surveyed indicated that they offer stock options as part of their noncash compensation packages to their board members. -Referring to Table 4-9, set up a contingency table.

If either A or B must occur they are called mutually exclusive.

Suppose A and B are events where P(A)= 0.4, P(B)= 0.5, and P(A and B)= 0.1. Then P(B|A)= ________.

TABLE 4-8 According to the record of the registrar's office at a state university, 35% of the students are freshman, 25% are sophomore, 16% are junior and the rest are senior. Among the freshmen, sophomores, juniors and seniors, the portion of students who live in the dormitory are, respectively, 80%, 60%, 30% and 20%. -Referring to Table 4-8, what is the probability that a randomly selected student is a sophomore who does not live in a dormitory?