Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation

TABLE 8-14 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-14, what is the needed sample size to obtain a 95% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of the targeted young adults who will purchase the new game by allowing the same level of margin of error?

Holding the width of a confidence interval fixed, increasing the level of confidence can be achieved with a lower sample size.

TABLE 8-13 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey of salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-13, the sampling error of a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer is ________.

TABLE 8-13 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey of salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-13, construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of the population proportion of managers who have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report.

TABLE 8-13 A sales and marketing management magazine conducted a survey of salespeople cheating on their expense reports and other unethical conduct. In the survey of 200 managers, 58% of the managers have caught salespeople cheating on an expense report, 50% have caught salespeople working a second job on company time, 22% have caught salespeople listing a "strip bar" as a restaurant on an expense report, and 19% have caught salespeople giving a kickback to a customer. -Referring to Table 8-13, determine the sample size needed to estimate the proportion of managers who have caught salespeople working a second job on company time to within ±0.02 with 95% confidence.

A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who receive some sort of financial aid. Rather than examine the records for all students, the dean randomly selects 200 students and finds that 118 of them are receiving financial aid. The 95% confidence interval for π is 0.59 ± 0.07. Interpret this interval.

The t distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the population mean when the population standard deviation is unknown.

TABLE 8-4 The actual voltages of power packs labeled as 12 volts are as follows: 11.77, 11.90, 11.64, 11.84, 12.13, 11.99, and 11.77. -Referring to Table 8-4, a 99% confidence interval will contain 99% of the voltages for all such power packs.

TABLE 8-1 The managers of a company are worried about the morale of their employees. In order to determine if a problem in this area exists, they decide to evaluate the attitudes of their employees with a standardized test. They select the Fortunato test of job satisfaction, which has a known standard deviation of 24 points. -Referring to Table 8-1, due to financial limitations, the managers decide to take a sample of 45 employees. This yields a mean score of 88.0 points. A 90% confidence interval would go from ________ to ________.

TABLE 8-10 The president of a university is concerned that illicit drug use on campus is higher than the 5% targeted level. A random sample of 250 students from a population of 2,000 revealed that 7 of them had used illicit drugs during the last 12 months. -Referring to Table 8-10, the president can be 90% confident that no more than 5% of the students at the university had used illicit drugs during the last 12 months.

The t distribution

TABLE 8-11 A university wanted to find out the percentage of students who felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. A survey of 2,800 students was conducted and the students were asked if they felt comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students. The results were 1,344 answered "Yes" and 1,456 answered "No." -Referring to Table 8-11, it is possible that the 99% confidence interval calculated from the data will not contain the proportion of student population who feel comfortable reporting cheating by their fellow students.

TABLE 8-6 After an extensive advertising campaign, the manager of a company wants to estimate the proportion of potential customers that recognize a new product. She samples 120 potential consumers and finds that 54 recognize this product. She uses this sample information to obtain a 95% confidence interval that goes from 0.36 to 0.54. -Referring to Table 8-6, 95% of the people will recognize the product between 36% and 54% of the time.

TABLE 8-14 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-14, the size of the population is 1,500.

TABLE 8-12 The president of a university is concerned that the percentage of students who have cheated on an exam is higher than the 1% acceptable level. A confidential random sample of 1,000 students from a population of 7,000 revealed that 6 of them said that they had cheated on an exam during the last semester. -Referring to Table 8-12, the president can be 90% confident that no more than 1% of the students at the university had cheated on an exam during the last semester.

The confidence interval estimate of the population mean is constructed around the sample mean.

TABLE 8-14 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-14, 1,500 is the size of the

TABLE 8-14 A poll was conducted by the marketing department of a video game company to determine the popularity of a new game that was targeted to be launched in three months. Telephone interviews with 1,500 young adults were conducted which revealed that 49% said they would purchase the new game. The margin of error was ±3 percentage points. -Referring to Table 8-14, what is the needed sample size to obtain a 95% confidence interval in estimating the percentage of the targeted young adults who will purchase the new game to within ±5% if you do not have the information on the 49% in the interviews who said that they would purchase the new game?

TABLE 8-3 To become an actuary, it is necessary to pass a series of 10 exams, including the most important one, an exam in probability and statistics. An insurance company wants to estimate the mean score on this exam for actuarial students who have enrolled in a special study program. They take a sample of 8 actuarial students in this program and determine that their scores are: 2, 5, 8, 8, 7, 6, 5, and 7. This sample will be used to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the mean score for actuarial students in the special study program. -Referring to Table 8-3, a 90% confidence interval for the mean score of actuarial students in the special program is from ________ to ________.

TABLE 8-8 The president of a university would like to estimate the proportion of the student population that owns a personal computer. In a sample of 500 students, 417 own a personal computer. -Referring to Table 8-8, the parameter of interest is the mean number of students in the population who own a personal computer.