Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information
Exam 1: First Principles233 Questions
Exam 2: Economic Models: Trade-Offs and Trade 25382 Questions
Exam 3: Supply and Demand290 Questions
Exam 4: Consumer and Producer Surplus224 Questions
Exam 5: Price Controls and Quotas: Meddling With Markets227 Questions
Exam 6: Elasticity300 Questions
Exam 7: Taxes298 Questions
Exam 8: International Trade272 Questions
Exam 9: Decision Making by Individuals Firms201 Questions
Exam 10: The Rational Consumer372 Questions
Exam 11: Behind the Supply Curve: Inputs and Costs362 Questions
Exam 12: Perfect Competition and the Supply Curve355 Questions
Exam 13: Monopoly350 Questions
Exam 14: Oligopoly294 Questions
Exam 15: Monopolistic Competition and Product Differentiation262 Questions
Exam 16: Externalities199 Questions
Exam 17: Public Goods Common Resources224 Questions
Exam 18: The Economics of the Welfare140 Questions
Exam 19: Factor Markets and the Distribution of Income369 Questions
Exam 20: Uncertainty, Risk, and Private Information202 Questions
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You insure your car against theft. Consequently, you rarely lock the car. This describes the problem of:
(Multiple Choice)
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Jaleh has just landed a great job and plans to buy a fancy car worth $100,000. Jaleh is otherwise risk-averse, but she likes to drive fast, so the probability that she wrecks the car (a total loss of $100,000) is 0.1. The probability that she has no accidents is 0.9. If an insurance company were to offer Jaleh a fair insurance policy that completely replaced her car, how much would she pay? What is the most she would pay for an insurance policy that would completely replace her car if she totaled it?
(Essay)
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People who want to reduce the risk they face may pay other people who are less sensitive to risk to take on some of their risk. As a result:
(Multiple Choice)
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You go into a grocery store to buy a soft drink. You find that different brands or varieties have different prices: for a one-liter bottle, Coke costs $1, Pepsi costs $0.95, and ginger ale costs $1.05. The price of a one-liter bottle of a soft drink at your grocery store is therefore a random variable.
(True/False)
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Use the following to answer questions:
-(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty. Suppose the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 50%, that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%. Given this information, Norman's expected income is:

(Multiple Choice)
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A life insurance company will often require an applicant to submit to a brief physical exam to assess that person's basic level of health. This practice is a form of _____ to lessen the problem of _____.
(Multiple Choice)
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You are about to have a meeting with your manager about a raise in your salary. You are going to request an increase of $5,000, but you believe the probability of success to be only 25%. You believe there is a 25% probability your boss will counter with a $3,000 raise and a 25% probability that your boss will offer a $1,000 raise. Finally, there is a 25% probability that you will receive no increase in your salary. What is the expected value of the outcome of your meeting?
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer questions:
Scenario: Diversification
Morris is considering investing $10,000 in a sunglass company or a rain poncho company. If it is a rainy year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he will lose $5,000. However, if it is a rainy year and he invests only in the rain poncho company, he will earn $10,000. If it is a sunny year and he invests only in the sunglass company, he will earn $10,000; if he invests only in the rain poncho company, he will lose $5,000 in a sunny year. There is a 50% chance of a sunny year and a 50% chance of a rainy year.
-(Scenario: Diversification) Look at the scenario Diversification. If Morris invests half of his money in the sunglass company and half in the rain poncho company, what is his expected gain or loss?
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer questions:
Scenario: Buying Shares
Geordie is considering buying shares in two companies, Apple and Microsoft. If he invests $1,000 in Apple, there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth only $800 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $1,200 at the end of a year. If he invests $500 in Apple, there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth $400 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $600 at the end of a year. The corresponding numbers for investment in Microsoft are identical.
-(Scenario: Buying Shares) Look at the scenario Buying Shares. The probability that Geordie will sustain a loss is _____ if he invests $1,000 in either Apple or Microsoft and is _____ if he invests $500 apiece in Apple and in Microsoft.
(Multiple Choice)
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Risk-averse individuals are willing to make deals that reduce their income to reduce their risk.
(True/False)
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If a stock analyst believes there is a 10% probability that the stock price of Dymonatis will be $30 at the end of the year, a 50% probability that it will be $40, and a 40% probability that it will be $50, then the expected value of the stock at the end of the year is:
(Multiple Choice)
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If there is a 50% probability that Joseph will earn $10 per hour at his job today and a 50% probability that he will earn $20 per hour today, his expected pay per hour is:
(Multiple Choice)
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Suppose a person rolls a typical six-sided die. What is the probability that the die will come up with a 1 two times in a row?
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer questions:
-(Table: Amy's Utility Function) Look at the table Amy's Utility Function. Amy is an entrepreneur with income of $40,000. Amy is considering development of a new product. The probability that her new product earns Amy $30,000 in additional income is 0.5, and the probability that Amy incurs a reduction of $10,000 from her current income is 0.5. Amy's expected income after developing her new product is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Why might the supply curve of insurance policies shift to the right?
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer questions:
-(Table: Natasha's Total Utility) Look at the table Natasha's Total Utility. Natasha's marginal utility _____ as her income increases. The marginal utility of income between $30,000 and $32,500 is _____ utils per dollar, while it is _____ utils per dollar between $47,500 and $50,000.

(Multiple Choice)
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When faced with an insurance policy whose premium exceeds the expected value of the claim:
(Multiple Choice)
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The pooling of risk is a _____ form of diversification that produces a payoff with a very _____ risk.
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following to answer questions:
-(Table: Choice with Uncertainty) Look at the table Choice with Uncertainty. Suppose the probability that the sitcom does not make it to television is 50%, that it makes it to television but is not the most viewed show in its time slot is 30%, and that it makes it to television and is the most viewed show in its time slot is 20%. Given this information, Norman, as a utility maximizer:

(Multiple Choice)
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An efficient market for risk, such as an insurance market, is most likely to exist:
(Multiple Choice)
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