Exam 15: Risk and Information

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Moral hazard in auto insurance might refer to:

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A

In economics, a lottery is:

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C

In general, with a first-price sealed-bid auction with private values, the Nash equilibrium bids will:

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A

The sum of the probabilities of all possible outcomes can exceed one.

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Use the following decision tree to answer the next question. Use the following decision tree to answer the next question.    -Consider the decision tree above. If the probability of Event 1 is 30% and the probability of Event 2 is 70%, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose? -Consider the decision tree above. If the probability of Event 1 is 30% and the probability of Event 2 is 70%, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose?

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An auction in which participants cry out their bids, and each participant can increase his bid until the auction ends with the highest bidder winning the object is known as:

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Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions  Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%    -*At node A, which decision has the higher expected value? -*At node A, which decision has the higher expected value?

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Consider a lottery with four equally likely outcomes, A, B, C, and D. The associated payoffs are: $10, $30, $70, and $150, respectively. The expected value of this lottery is what?

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A risk premium is:

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Some probabilities result from laws of nature; some reflect subjective beliefs about risky events.

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 A decision maker has a utility function U=I. This decision maker is: \text { A decision maker has a utility function } U = \sqrt { I } \text {. This decision maker is: }

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Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes, A,B,C\mathrm { A } , \mathrm { B } , \mathrm { C } , and D\mathrm { D } . The associated payoffs are: A\mathrm { A } $10, B$30,C$70\$ 10 , \mathrm {~B} - \$ 30 , \mathrm { C } - \$ 70 , and D - $150\$ 150 . The probabilities are P(A)=0.40,P(B)=0.20,P(C)=P ( A ) = 0.40 , P ( B ) = 0.20 , P ( C ) = 0.300.30 , and P(D)=0.10P ( D ) = 0.10 . The variance of this lottery is what?

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Your current disposable income is $10,000. There is a 10% chance you will get in a serious car accident, incurring damage of $1,900. (There is a 90% chance that nothing will happen.)Your utility function is U=IU = \sqrt { I } ,where I is income. What is the most you would be willing to pay for this policy (rather than no insurance)?

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Consider a lottery with four possible outcomes, A,B,CA , B , C , and D. The associated payoffs are: $10\$ 10 , $30,$70\$ 30 , \$ 70 , and $150\$ 150 , respectively. The probabilities are P(A)=0.40,P(B)=0.20,P(C)=P ( A ) = 0.40 , P ( B ) = 0.20 , P ( C ) = 0.300.30 , and P(D)=0.10P ( D ) = 0.10 . The expected value of this lottery is what?

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Use the following decision tree to answer the next question. Use the following decision tree to answer the next question.    -If the probability of Event 1 is 30% and the probability of Event 2 is 70% in the decision tree above, the expected value of Decision 1 is -If the probability of Event 1 is 30% and the probability of Event 2 is 70% in the decision tree above, the expected value of Decision 1 is

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The winner's curse refers to:

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In a second-price sealed-bid auction with private values, the winner of the auction is:

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Suppose a fair, two-sided coin is flipped. If it comes up heads you receive $5; if it comes up tails you lose $1. The expected value of this lottery is what?

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Consider a lottery with four equally likely outcomes, A, B, C, and D. The associated payoffs are: $10, $30, $70, and $150, respectively. The variance of this lottery is what?

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Consider an insurance policy with $15,000 worth of coverage. If there is a 10% chance the owner of the policy will file a claim for the $15,000 (and a 90% chance they will not file a claim), a fair price for this policy is:

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