Exam 15: Risk and Information

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A good way to deal with moral hazard faced by an insurance company would be to:

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Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions  Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%    -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 1 occurs, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node D? -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 1 occurs, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node D?

(Multiple Choice)
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Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions  Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%    -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 2 occurs, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node E? -*If the decision maker chooses Decision A and Event 2 occurs, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node E?

(Multiple Choice)
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Your current disposable income is $10,000. There is a 10% chance you will get in a serious car accident, incurring damage of $1,900. (There is a 90% chance that nothing will happen.)Your utility function is U=IU = \sqrt { I } ,where I is income. What is the fair price of this policy?

(Multiple Choice)
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Given the possible outcomes to a lottery being only the values 2, 6 with equal probabilities, calculate the expected value, variance and standard deviation?

(Multiple Choice)
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Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions  Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%    -*If the decision maker chooses Decision B, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node C? -*If the decision maker chooses Decision B, which decision alternative should the decision maker choose at node C?

(Multiple Choice)
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  -The variance of a probability distribution can be described as: -The variance of a probability distribution can be described as:

(Multiple Choice)
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With common values in an auction:

(Multiple Choice)
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  -Given the probability distribution for the lottery above, what is the standard deviation of this lottery? -Given the probability distribution for the lottery above, what is the standard deviation of this lottery?

(Multiple Choice)
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The probability of any particular outcome is between 0 and 1.

(True/False)
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The expected value of a lottery is:

(Multiple Choice)
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Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Heading: Analyzing Risky Decisions **Reference: Use the decision tree along with the given probabilities to answer the next six questions  Probability Event A = 30% Probability Event B = 70% Probability Event 1 = 58% Probability Event 2 = 42% Probability of Event A given that Event 1 occurs = 16% Probability of Event B given that Event 1 occurs = 84% Probability of Event A given that Event 2 occurs = 50% Probability of Event B given that Event 2 occurs = 50%    -*What is the expected value at node B? -*What is the expected value at node B?

(Multiple Choice)
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A person who gets increasing marginal utility as income increases is described as:

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is false?

(Multiple Choice)
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In a second-price sealed-bid auction the best bidding strategy is to bid:

(Multiple Choice)
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In a first-price sealed-bid auction when bidders have private values, the best bidding strategy is to bid:

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A good way to deal with adverse selection faced by an insurance company would not be to:

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A decision-maker is faced with a choice between a lottery with a 30% chance of a payoff of $30 and a 70% chance of a payoff of $80, and a guaranteed payoff of $65. If the decision maker's utility function is , what is the risk premium associated with this choice?

(Multiple Choice)
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A decision maker can be described with utility which is only a function of income and which exhibits diminishing marginal utility of income. This decision maker is:

(Multiple Choice)
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A decision maker can be described with utility that is only a function of income. If this function is linear, the decision maker is:

(Multiple Choice)
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