Exam 12: Macroanalysis and Microvaluation of the Stock Market

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Aggregate return on equity increases as

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If interest rates increase due to inflation,but expected cash flows to a firm do not change,then you would expect stock prices to

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If,for the S&P Industrials Index,the profit margin was 0.35 and the equity turnover ratio was 10,the ROE would be:

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A 1971 study by Finkel and Tuttle hypothesizes that all of the following variables affect the aggregate profit margin except

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The economy and the stock market have a strong,consistent relationship,but the stock market generally turns before the economy does.

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Exhibit 12.5 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) An analyst wishes to estimate the share price for Ashley Corporation. The following information is made available: Estimated profit margin = 15% Total asset turnover = 2 Financial leverage = 1.2 Estimated dividend payout ratio = 75% Required rate of return = 14% Estimated EPS = $2.50 -Refer to Exhibit 12.5.Calculate the P/E multiple.

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Exhibit 12.6 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. GDP GDP growth Sales per share Operating profit margin Depreciation/Fixed Assets Fixed asset turnover Interest rate Total asset turnover Debt/Total assets Tax rate \ Year 2003 11,000 Billion \ 800 \ \ Estimated Year 2004 3.5\% 12\% 14\% 2 3.5\% 0.7 45\% 36\% \ In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is %D Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(%∆GDP) -Refer to Exhibit 12.6.Calculate the firm's level of Total Assets per share for the year 2004.

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The growth rate (g)of dividends is affected by all of the following except

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Exhibit 12.6 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) Consider the following information that you propose to use to obtain an estimate of year 2004 EPS for the MacLog Company. GDP GDP growth Sales per share Operating profit margin Depreciation/Fixed Assets Fixed asset turnover Interest rate Total asset turnover Debt/Total assets Tax rate \ Year 2003 11,000 Billion \ 800 \ \ Estimated Year 2004 3.5\% 12\% 14\% 2 3.5\% 0.7 45\% 36\% \ In addition a regression analysis indicates the following relationship between growth in sales per share for MacLog and GDP growth is %D Sales per share = 0.015 + 0.75(%∆GDP) -Refer to Exhibit 12.6.Estimate the firm's sales per share for the year 2004.

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Expected earnings per share estimates requires all of the following except

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A major advantage of the cyclical indicator approach is that it spans all important major economic sectors including the service sector and import-exports.

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Compute the current earnings multiple if the dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 60 percent,the required rate of return is 11%,and the dividend growth rate is 8%.

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Jensen,Johnson,and Mercer showed that the relationship between stock returns and size and price-to-book ratio holds in periods when monetary policy is

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The dividend payout ratio,the required rate of return on common equity,and the expected growth rate of stock dividends are the major variables that affect

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It is reasonable to expect corporate sales to be closely related to GNP.

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Exhibit 12.2 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) Assume that the dividend payout ratio will be 75 percent when the rate on long-term government bonds falls to 8 percent. Since investors are becoming more risk averse, the equity risk premium will rise to 7 percent and investors will require a 15 percent return. The return on equity will be 12 percent. -Refer to Exhibit 12.2.To what price will the market rise if the earnings expectation is $32.00?

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The cyclical indicator approach to market analysis is based on the belief that the economy expands and contracts in a random manner.

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Exhibit 12.8 Use the Information Below for the Following Problem(S) As an economist for a research firm you are forecasting the market P/E ratio using the dividend discount model. Because the economy has been slow for 5 years, you expect the dividend-payout ratio to be 55%. Long-term government bond rates are at 6% and the equity risk premium is estimated to be 3%. Return on equity (ROE) is estimated to be 11%. -Refer to Exhibit 12.8.What is your expectation of the market P/E ratio?

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The dividend payout ratio for the aggregate market is 50 percent,the required rate of return is 16 percent,and the expected growth rate for dividends is 6 percent.Compute the current earnings multiple.

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As the market's return on equity increases so will the P/E ratio.

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