Exam 14: Estimating Potentials and Forecasting Sales

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Where there is a strong trend in sales:

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As a sales analyst, if you wish to compare forecasting accuracy across several time periods, the percentage forecasting error formula [% error = (forecast - actual)/actual] should be used.

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Trend forecasting methods including the percentage rate of change and the unit rate of change:

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The market share of an organization is measured by which of the following ratios?

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Regression methods are generally more suitable for short range forecasts.

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The easiest way of estimating the number of buyers for a consumer product is:

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Which of the following are not directly involved in estimating potential and forecasting sales?

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MAPE stands for:

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One of the difficult problems with linear regression is knowing how much past data to include in the calculation of the forecast.

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Which of the following sales forecast methods uses historical data the least when making a forecast?

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Given the following sales data, answer the following questions. Mean of 3-Year Sales Given the following sales data, answer the following questions. Mean of 3-Year Sales         278/12 = 23.16 -What is the seasonal index for quarter 1? Given the following sales data, answer the following questions. Mean of 3-Year Sales         278/12 = 23.16 -What is the seasonal index for quarter 1? 278/12 = 23.16 -What is the seasonal index for quarter 1?

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Managers rarely need forecasts for designing sales territories.

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Remember the Buying Power Index? Given Bloomington, IN has .00015% of the U.S. retail sales but only .0002% of the U.S. population, we can conclude the following:

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What is ironic about the moving average method is that it really doesn't move.

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A minimum of two periods of data are needed to use the moving average method.

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The city of Sacramento has 0.165% of U.S. income, 0.166% of retail sales, and 0.142% of the U.S. population. Sacramento's buying power index is:

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An important feature of the moving average technique is its ability to emphasize recent data and systematically discount old information.

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The major decision with exponential smoothing forecasts is determining the ideal number of periods to include in the average.

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Which of the following forecasting methods tends to lag behind actual sales when there is a strong trend?

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The sales budget is usually prepared before the sales forecast.

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