Exam 14: Computer Simulation: Basic Concepts

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A Data Table can be used to "trick" Excel to perform many replications of a computer simulation. Multiple Choice Questions

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Simulation models are fairly easy to use and understand; therefore they can be used for a wide range of decisions.

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Figure On cold mornings,the probability that David's car won't start is 0.22.When it doesn't start,he takes the bus and is late for work.When it does start,he drives to work on the freeway.Sixty-five percent of the time the freeway is clear,and he gets to work on time.The rest of the time he is late.Simulate 10 consecutive days worth of trips to work using the random numbers given (use the smaller numbers to represent "car won't start" and "freeway clear"). Figure On cold mornings,the probability that David's car won't start is 0.22.When it doesn't start,he takes the bus and is late for work.When it does start,he drives to work on the freeway.Sixty-five percent of the time the freeway is clear,and he gets to work on time.The rest of the time he is late.Simulate 10 consecutive days worth of trips to work using the random numbers given (use the smaller numbers to represent car won't start and freeway clear).   -How many times is David late for work? -How many times is David late for work?

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One key advantage of computer simulation is that is makes full use of the simplifying approximations that are available.

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Simulation is basically an optimizing technique.

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