Exam 12: Limited Dependent Variables

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Suppose you are interested in explaining the probability of Switching Jobs as a function of Salary,Experience,Home Ownership,and Number of Children. a)Write out the regression model that you would want to estimate.Explain the dependent variable in detail. b)Could you estimate the above model by OLS? What would you call such a model? Are there any potential shortcomings of estimating such a model? If so,what are they? Explain. c)In reference to your answer in (b),is there an alternative estimator that is more preferred? If so,what is it? Why is it preferred to the model in (b)? Explain.

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a)The model I would estimate is Switch J^obsi=β0+β1 Salary i+β2 Experience i+β3 Rent i+β4 Children iSwi\widehat {tch ~J}obs _ { i } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } \text { Salary } _ { i } + \beta _ { 2 } \text { Experience } _ { i } + \beta _ { 3 } \text { Rent } _ { i } + \beta _ { 4 } \text { Children } _ { i }
where the dependent variable is a binary dummy variable that takes on the value 1 if the individual switched jobs and 0 if the individual did not switch jobs.
b)Yes,I could estimate the above model by OLS.Doing so would be referred to as estimating a linear probability model.The potential shortcoming of such a model is that it predicts values for the dependent variable that are less than 0 and greater than 1 when it is impossible for such values to exist.The primary challenge of using OLS to estimate models with a binary dependent variable is that OLS constrains the marginal effects between the independent variables and the dependent variable to be constant when the true effect is likely non-linear.
c)Yes.An alternative estimator that would be preferred to a linear probability model would be one that would constrain all estimates to fall between 0 and 1,and a model that would allow a nonlinear relationship between then independent and dependent variable,which we know is actually the case for binary dependent variables.

What do the coefficient estimates from the probit model represent? What do you need to do to determine true estimated marginal effects? Explain.

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Coefficient estimates from the probit model indicate the general degree to which given independent variables are associated with the dependent variable.They do not represent true marginal effects.To generate true estimated marginal effects,you need to take the derivative of the probit function with respect to the independent variable and plug in the values of all independent variables to obtain the marginal effect at specific points in the distribution.This is typically done in an advanced statistical package.

What is a categorical dependent variable? Why does it present a challenge to estimating the population multiple linear regression model by OLS? Explain.

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A categorical dependent variable is a dependent variable that only takes on specific integer values rather than continuous values.For instance,ratings of job performance from 0 to 4.
Categorical dependent variables present a challenge to OLS because OLS assumes the dependent variable ranges from negative infinity to positive infinity instead of taking on just a few integer values.

The coefficient estimates from the probit model

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Suppose you estimate a logit model explaining the probability of entering the labor force and you get the following estimated coefficients Labor F^orcei=4.83+1.27 Education i3.06 Female i+2.91 Children Under 6iLab\widehat {or ~F}orce _ { i } = 4.83 + 1.27 \text { Education } _ { i } - 3.06 \text { Female } _ { i } + 2.91 \text { Children Under 6} _ { i } You should conclude that

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What do the coefficient estimates from the logit model represent? What do you need to do to determine true estimated marginal effects? Explain.

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Suppose you are interested in explaining Student Evaluations of Teaching (which are calculated on the following 4-point scale: (0)Poor, (1)Fair, (2)Good,and (3)Excellent)as a function of Average GPA,% Freshmen,% Male,and % Majors. a)Write out the regression model that you would want to estimate.Explain the dependent variable in detail. b)Could you estimate the above model by OLS? Are there any potential shortcomings of estimating such a model? If so,what are they? Explain. c)In reference to your answer in (b),is there an alternative estimator that is more preferred? If so,what is it? Why is it preferred to the model in (b)? Explain.

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Suppose you are interested in estimating the effect that getting a flu shot has on the probability of contracting the flu.In this case,your preferred estimator would be

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When using the probit model,estimated marginal effects are obtained by

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The coefficient estimates from the probit model are

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Suppose you are interested in explaining the probability of Switching Jobs in a sample of 32,517 men and women and that using the probit you obtain the following coefficient estimates (standard errors in parentheses) Swiob= 1.17- 1.86- 0.93+ 0.98 -1.24 Number of Children (0.26) (0.72) (0.45) (0.41) (0.59) a)How should you interpret the estimated coefficient on Salary? Does this make economic sense? Explain. b)How should you interpret the estimated coefficient on Rent Home? Does this make economic sense? Explain. c)Do these estimates provide all of the information that you desire? If not,how can you obtain that information? Explain.

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Estimating models with binary dependent variables by OLS is referred to as estimating a

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What is a binary dependent variable? Why does it present a challenge to estimating the population multiple linear regression model by OLS? Explain.

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Categorical dependent variables are ones that take on

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Suppose you are interested in explaining the probability of Switching Jobs in a sample of 32,517 men and women and that using the logit you obtain the following coefficient estimates (standard errors in parentheses) Swiob= 1.93- 2.43- 0.52+ 1.28 -0.97 Number of Children (0.47) (0.85) (0.33) (0.65) (0.34) a)How should you interpret the estimated coefficient on Salary? Does this make economic sense? Explain. b)How should you interpret the estimated coefficient on Rent Home? Does this make economic sense? Explain. c)Do these estimates provide all of the information that you desire? If not,how can you obtain that information? Explain.

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Suppose you are interested in estimating the effect that getting a flu shot has on the probability of contracting the flu.In this case,your preferred estimator would be

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Suppose you are interested in estimating the effect that gasoline prices have on the decision to ride a bike,take a bus,take a train,or drive your own car to work in this case,your preferred estimator would be

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What is the ordered probit model? Why is it more appropriate than the multinomial logit? Explain.

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What is a multinomial logit model? Why is it more appropriate than OLS? Explain.

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What do the coefficient estimates from the ordered probit model represent? What do you need to do to determine true estimated marginal effects? Explain.

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