Exam 20: Uncertainty, risk, and Private Information

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The insurance industry operates on the principles of:

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Buying a warranty on a new television is an example of paying to avoid risk.

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A fair insurance policy is one whose premium:

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Which statement describes a principle of the insurance industry?

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Investors in agricultural corporations face many correlated financial risks.Which example does NOT illustrate correlated risks for the agricultural industry?

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Use the following to answer questions : Scenario: Choosing Insurance The Ramirez family owns three cars and is considering buying insurance to cover the cost of repairs.They face two possible states: in state 1,their cars need no repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is $50 000;in state 2,their cars need $10 000 worth of repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is reduced to $40 000.The probability of repairs is 10%,while the probability of no repairs is 90%. -(Scenario: Choosing Insurance)Use Scenario: Choosing Insurance.For $1 000,the Ramirez family can buy insurance that will cover the full cost of repairs.If family members are risk-averse and want to maximize their expected utility,they will:

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Use the following to answer questions : Scenario: Choosing Insurance The Ramirez family owns three cars and is considering buying insurance to cover the cost of repairs.They face two possible states: in state 1,their cars need no repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is $50 000;in state 2,their cars need $10 000 worth of repairs and their income available for purchasing other goods and services is reduced to $40 000.The probability of repairs is 10%,while the probability of no repairs is 90%. -(Scenario: Choosing Insurance)Use Scenario: Choosing Insurance.For $2 000,the Ramirez family can buy insurance that will cover the full cost of repairs.If family members are risk-averse and want to maximize their expected utility,they will:

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Use the following to answer questions : Scenario: Flood Area Suppose that you own a home that is estimated to be worth $250 000.You live in a flood plain;as a result,the probability that you will lose your home to a flood is 30%. -(Scenario: Flood Area)Use Scenario: Flood Area.A flood may occur,causing you to lose your entire home.In this case,your expected loss resulting from the flood would be:

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Use the following to answer questions : Scenario: Buying Shares Geordie is considering buying shares in two companies,Apple and Microsoft.If he invests $1 000 in Apple,there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth only $800 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $1 200 at the end of a year.If he invests $500 in Apple,there is a 40% probability that his investment will be worth $400 and a 60% probability that it will be worth $600 at the end of a year.The corresponding numbers for investment in Microsoft are identical. -(Scenario: Buying Shares)Use Scenario: Buying Shares.The probability that Geordie will make a gain is _____% if he invests $1 000 in either Apple or Microsoft.The probability that he will make a gain is _____% if he invests $500 apiece in Apple and in Microsoft.

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Warranties that cover the cost of a repair or replacement will:

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Risk-averse individuals:

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_____ of insurance are often risk-averse,and _____ of insurance are interested in reducing their exposure to risk.

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Two possible events are independent if they happen at different times and in different places.

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A fair insurance policy is one in which the premium equals the expected value of the claim.

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Louis has invested $1 000 in the stock market.At the end of 1 year,there is a 30% chance that his stock will be worth only $800 and a 70% chance that it will be worth $1 200.The expected value of his stock at the end of 1 year is:

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The expected value of a random variable is:

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Given uncertainty,individuals attempt to maximize their:

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An individual can almost eliminate risk by taking a small share in many independent events or by taking advantage of the predictability associated with large numbers of independent events.This strategy is known as:

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The pooling of risk is a _____ form of diversification that produces a payoff with a very _____ risk.

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Use the following to answer questions : Scenario: Used-Car Market In the used-car market,cars of poor quality are called lemons,whereas cars of good quality are called plums.Suppose that the probability of obtaining a lemon is 60% and the probability of obtaining a plum is 40%.Also,assume that a plum is worth $15 000 and a lemon is worth $3 000. -(Scenario: Used-Car Market)Use Scenario: Used-Car Market.If buyers cannot distinguish between lemons and plums,eventually this used-car market will:

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