Exam 22: Markov Analysis

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Markov analysis provides a recommended decision.

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Markov analysis is not a descriptive technique that results in probabilistic information.

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The brand-switching problem analyzes the probability of customers' changing brands of a product over time.

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A Markov assumption is that the probabilities are constant over time.

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Markov analysis is a descriptive technique that results in probabilistic information.

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A Markov assumption is that the probabilities ________ over time.

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Markov analysis can be used to determine the steady state probabilities associated with machine breakdowns.

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Limmer's is going to launch a new advertising campaign in order to attract new customers. The "before" and "after" transition matrices are shown below: Before: \nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace Next Week This Week Don's Limmer's Don's 0.9 0.1 Limmer's 0.2 0.8 After: \nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace Next Week This Week Don's Limmer's Don's 0.85 0.15 Limmer's 0.2 0.8 If there are 1000 customers who shop at these two stores, how many customers, over the long run, will switch to Limmer's as a result of the new campaign?

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The probability of ending up in a state in the future is ________ of the starting state.

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In certain applications, the transition matrix may first need to be divided into submatrices. The identity matrix, I, and matrix Q (the nonabsorbing matrix) are then used to determine the ________ matrix.

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Participants eligible for a retraining program can be in one of four states: A - not in the training program B - discharged C - in training D - employed You are given the following transition matrix and the fundamental matrix. B C D .1 .6 .3 0 0 1.0 0 0 .2 .2 .5 .1 0 0 0 1.0 1.28 0.77 0.51 2.31 Assume that there were initially 10 people not in the training program (State A) and 60 people who were in the training program (State C). How many people will end up being discharged, and how many people will be employed?

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The transition matrix below shows the probabilities that customer switch between two grocery stores, Don's and Limmer's, each week. \nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace\nobreakspace Next Week This Week Don's Limmer's Don's 0.9 0.1 Limmer's 0.2 0.8 If there are 2000 customers who shop at either store, how many over the long run would shop at Limmer's?

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Participants eligible for a retraining program can be in one of four states: A - not in the training program B - discharged C - in training D - employed You are given the following transition matrix and the fundamental matrix. B C D .1 .6 .3 0 0 1.0 0 0 .2 .2 .5 .1 0 0 0 1.0 1.28 0.77 0.51 2.31 Assume that there were initially 10 people not in the training program (State A) and 60 people who were in the training program (State C). Approximately how many people will end up being discharged?

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Markov analysis is not a probabilistic technique.

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For the following transition matrices, what is the absorbing state(s)? 002/31/301003/41/4001000\left| \begin{array} { l l l l } 0 & 0 & 2 / 3 & 1 / 3 \\0 & 1 & 0 & 0 \\3 / 4 & 1 / 4 & 0 & 0 \\1 & 0 & 0 & 0\end{array} \right|

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A Markov process has the following transition matrix: A 0.25 0.75 B 0.60 0.40 What are the steady state probabilities?

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For the following transition matrices, determine the transient or absorbing states. 002/31/301003/41/4001000\left| \begin{array} { l l l l } 0 & 0 & 2 / 3 & 1 / 3 \\0 & 1 & 0 & 0 \\3 / 4 & 1 / 4 & 0 & 0 \\1 & 0 & 0 & 0\end{array} \right|

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The ________ is the probability of moving from one state to another during one time period.

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A transition matrix cannot cause the system to cycle between states.

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Although information from Markov analysis can be obtained using a ________, it is time-consuming and cumbersome.

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