Exam 17: Operational Decision-Making Tools: Decision Analysis

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In a decision-making situation, the events that may occur in the future are known as states of nature.

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Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the maximin decision criterion is to The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the maximin decision criterion is to

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Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The following payoff table describes the decision situation. Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for Fairco using the Hurwicz criterion with a coefficient of optimism equal to 0.80 would be to The best decision for Fairco using the Hurwicz criterion with a coefficient of optimism equal to 0.80 would be to

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The LaPlace criterion is a decision criterion in which each state of nature is weighted equally.

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A decision criterion in which the decision payoffs are weighted by a coefficient of optimism is known as the Hurwicz criterion.

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Which of the following techniques is the most widely used decision-making criterion under risk?

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Decision analysis is a quantitative technique supporting decision-making with uncertainty.

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What is decision analysis?

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When probabilities can be assigned to the occurrence of states of nature in the future, the situation is referred to as

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Quantitative methods are tools available to operations managers to help make a decision but not a recommendation.

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Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand, with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand, with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The expected value for the acquire competitor decision is The expected value for the acquire competitor decision is

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Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The business believes that the probability for increasing, stable and decreasing product demand are 0.4, 0.5, and 0.1, respectively. The following payoff table describes the decision situation. Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The business believes that the probability for increasing, stable and decreasing product demand are 0.4, 0.5, and 0.1, respectively. The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   If the expected value criterion is used, then the best decision would be to If the expected value criterion is used, then the best decision would be to

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A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand, with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. A small parts manufacturer has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand, with probabilities of 0.6 and 0.4, respectively. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision according to the expected value criterion is The best decision according to the expected value criterion is

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Quantitative methods are tools available to operations managers to help make a decision or recommendation.

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Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the maximax decision criterion is to The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the maximax decision criterion is to

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The maximum value of perfect information to the decision maker is known as

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Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The following payoff table describes the decision situation. Fairco, a family business, is considering making an investment in its manufacturing operation. Three decisions are under consideration: (1) a large investment; (2) a medium investment; and (3) a small investment. The business believes that there are three possible future outcomes for its product: (1) increasing demand; (2) stable demand; and (3) decreasing demand. The following payoff table describes the decision situation.   The best decision for Fairco using the maximin criterion would be to The best decision for Fairco using the maximin criterion would be to

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A decision criterion that results in the maximum of the minimum payoffs is called a maximin criterion.

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Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation. Kallie Inc., a small parts manufacturer, has just engineered a new product for the automotive industry. In order to produce the part the company can expand existing facilities, acquire a competitor, or subcontract production. The company believes the product will either experience high market demand or low market demand. The following payoff table describes the company's decision situation.   The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the equal likelihood criterion is to The best decision for Kallie Inc. using the equal likelihood criterion is to

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The outcome of a decision is referred to as a payoff.

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